Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (433/497) | 76% (224/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (433/497) | 76% (224/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 62% (78/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
- 54', Mitrano A. ↓, Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↑,
- 63', Melano L. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Kwizera J. (Pen),
- 69', Herivaux Z. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
- 69', Brito J. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
- 74', Vazquez C. ↓, Hoyos K. ↑,
- 74', Blanco S. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
- 75', Kwizera J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 75', Nodarse F. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
- 82', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
- 86', Knutson D. 🟨,
- 87', Ybarra M. ↓, Stoneman G. ↑,
- 90', Tulu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miami
34% | Draw
27.6% | Rhode Island
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rhode Island might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rhode Island could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami - Rhode Island Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(3.27) |
3.37 ↓
(3.42) |
2.43 ↑
(2.07) |
7.4%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Miami is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rhode Island has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of home games.
- Rhode Island is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1.3:3.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Rhode Island?
Miami has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rhode Island won against Miami?
Rhode Island has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Rhode Island were as follows:
07.06.2025
Rhode Island
-
Miami
0:1
26.10.2024
Rhode Island
-
Miami
8:1
13.07.2024
Miami
-
Rhode Island
2:3
Latest results of Rhode Island
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
