Miami vs Tulsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL).

USL Championship
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	2.16
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
4	13
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
74% (238/321)	73% (231/316)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	2.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	1.20
Total shots
4	13
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
3	11
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
8	36
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
17	17
Passes
74% (238/321)	73% (231/316)
Long passes
42% (27/65)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
47% (36/77)	63% (87/139)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	2.00
Throw-ins
15	25
Fouls
17	17
Tackles
69% (9/13)	70% (14/20)
Duels won
58	57
Clearances
35	24
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.20	1.25
Goals prevented
-0.80	-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. (Pen),
36', Vazquez C. 🟨,
38', Dalou A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 2, Goldthorp E. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
45+2', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
45+5', Romero M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Akinyode B. 🟨,
56', St.Clair H. 🟨,
60', Blanco S. ↓, Hoyos K. ↑,
62', Colli G. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
62', St.Clair H. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
62', Calheira T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
68', Melano L. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
68', Vazquez C. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
81', Stauffer L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
86', Cissoko A. 🟨,
87', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
89', Mitrano A. 🟨,
90+2', Cardona N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Miami
37.7%

Draw
27.1%

Tulsa
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.4%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Miami - Tulsa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3.02)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	2.6 ↑ (2.23)	9.3% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Tulsa?

Miami has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Miami?

Tulsa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Tulsa were as follows:

19.06.2024 Tulsa - Miami 2:1

12.07.2023 Tulsa - Miami 1:0

11.03.2023 Miami - Tulsa 1:1

Latest results of Miami

21.06.2025 Detroit City - Miami 2:0 ✺

18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Miami - Naples 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Tulsa

14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - Tulsa 0:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2 ✺

28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )