Miami vs Tulsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.16
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
413
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
74% (238/321)73% (231/316)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.251.20
Total shots
413
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
836
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
74% (238/321)73% (231/316)
Long passes
42% (27/65)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
47% (36/77)63% (87/139)
Crosses
23% (3/13)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.612.00
Throw-ins
1525
Fouls
1717
Tackles
69% (9/13)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5857
Clearances
3524
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.201.25
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. (Pen),
  • 36', Vazquez C. 🟨,
  • 38', Dalou A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Goldthorp E. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
  • 45+2', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
  • 45+5', Romero M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Akinyode B. 🟨,
  • 56', St.Clair H. 🟨,
  • 60', Blanco S. ↓, Hoyos K. ↑,
  • 62', Colli G. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
  • 62', St.Clair H. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
  • 62', Calheira T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
  • 68', Melano L. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
  • 68', Vazquez C. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
  • 81', Stauffer L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
  • 86', Cissoko A. 🟨,
  • 87', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
  • 89', Mitrano A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cardona N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
37.7%		Draw
27.1%		Tulsa
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 28.4% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 27.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.
  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Miami - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.43 ↓
    (3.02)    		 3.38 ↑
    (3.23)    		 2.6 ↑
    (2.23)    		 9.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Tulsa were as follows:
    19.06.2024 Tulsa - Miami 2:1
    12.07.2023 Tulsa - Miami 1:0
    11.03.2023 Miami - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Miami
    21.06.2025 Detroit City - Miami 2:0
    18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0
    14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1
    07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1
    31.05.2025 Miami - Naples 3:2
    Latest results of Tulsa
    14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - Tulsa 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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