Miami vs Tulsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Miami - Tulsa
Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.16
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
413
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
74% (238/321)73% (231/316)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.251.20
Total shots
413
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
836
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
74% (238/321)73% (231/316)
Long passes
42% (27/65)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
47% (36/77)63% (87/139)
Crosses
23% (3/13)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.612.00
Throw-ins
1525
Fouls
1717
Tackles
69% (9/13)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5857
Clearances
3524
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.201.25
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. (Pen),
  • 36', Vazquez C. 🟨,
  • 38', Dalou A. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Goldthorp E. , St.Clair H. (A),
  • 45+2', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
  • 45+5', Romero M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Akinyode B. 🟨,
  • 56', St.Clair H. 🟨,
  • 60', Blanco S. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 62', Colli G. , Webber J. ,
  • 62', St.Clair H. , Seagrist P. ,
  • 62', Calheira T. , Elmedkhar K. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Bonfiglio F. ,
  • 68', Melano L. , Veron D. ,
  • 68', Vazquez C. , Cardona N. ,
  • 81', Stauffer L. , Lukic S. ,
  • 86', Cissoko A. 🟨,
  • 87', Bonfiglio F. , Zarate T. ,
  • 89', Mitrano A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cardona N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
37.7%
Draw
27.1%
Tulsa
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 28.4% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 27.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.
  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (3.02)
    3.38
    (3.23)
    2.6
    (2.23)
    9.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Tulsa were as follows:
    19.06.2024 Tulsa - Miami 2:1
    12.07.2023 Tulsa - Miami 1:0
    11.03.2023 Miami - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Miami
    21.06.2025 Detroit City - Miami 2:0
    18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0
    14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1
    07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1
    31.05.2025 Miami - Naples 3:2
    Latest results of Tulsa
    14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )