Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Thomas G. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
35
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
29
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
35
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
03
Corner kicks
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Gill K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McAndrew N. , Richards J. ,
  • 53', Campbell L. , Bakre H. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Oguntolu J. , Wilson C. (A),
  • 62', Cox D. , Osong J. ,
  • 62', Wilson C. , Davidson J. ,
  • 66', Hunt H. , Harrison L. ,
  • 66', Hamilton M. , Dede J. ,
  • 76', Oguntolu J. , Green I. ,
  • 77', Price H. 🟨,
  • 87', Green I. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Dede J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Derby County U21
26.5%
Draw
23.4%
Middlesbrough U21
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 24.1% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 23.6% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Middlesbrough U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Derby County U21 aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Derby County U21 - Middlesbrough U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (3.3)
    3.87
    (3.7)
    1.81
    (1.83)
    10.4%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 29 and 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Middlesbrough U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Middlesbrough U21 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County U21 - Middlesbrough U21 were as follows:
    05.11.2023 Middlesbrough U21 - Derby County U21 1:0
    24.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Middlesbrough U21 1:5
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U21 ✔ 20141552:252743
    2Manchester Utd U21 ✔ 20134343:261743
    3Fulham U21 ✔ 20115448:321638
    4Ipswich U21 ✔ 19122541:37438
    5Manchester City U21 ✔ 19121656:213537
    6Southampton U21 ✔ 20106436:29736
    7Liverpool U21 ✔ 20112749:361335
    8Tottenham U21 ✔ 19102740:32832
    9Brighton U21 ✔ 2086638:251330
    10West Ham U21 ✔ 2086644:35930
    11Arsenal U21 ✔ 1985628:31-329
    12Leicester U211984745:40528
    13Crystal Palace U211984734:31328
    14Sunderland U212084841:40128
    15Aston Villa U211984731:35-428
    16Middlesbrough U212076737:28927
    17Nottingham U2120821023:23026
    18Stoke City U211974829:41-1225
    19Newcastle Utd U211965829:34-523
    20Everton U211964925:32-722
    21Reading U211964925:35-1022
    22Wolves U211964929:44-1522
    23Norwich U211955932:39-720
    24Derby U211955925:40-1520
    25Leeds U2119531126:37-1118
    26West Brom U2120531226:41-1518
    27Birmingham U2120451126:52-2617
    28Blackburn U2119421327:44-1714
    29Burnley U2120341322:42-2013

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chelsea U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fulham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ipswich U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester City U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Southampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Liverpool U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tottenham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Brighton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    West Ham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Arsenal U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)