Derby County U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Thomas G. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
35
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
29
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
35
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
03
Corner kicks
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Gill K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McAndrew N. , Richards J. ,
  • 53', Campbell L. , Bakre H. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Oguntolu J. , Wilson C. (A),
  • 62', Cox D. , Osong J. ,
  • 62', Wilson C. , Davidson J. ,
  • 66', Hunt H. , Harrison L. ,
  • 66', Hamilton M. , Dede J. ,
  • 76', Oguntolu J. , Green I. ,
  • 77', Price H. 🟨,
  • 87', Green I. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Dede J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Derby County U21
26.5%
Draw
23.4%
Middlesbrough U21
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 24.1% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 23.6% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Middlesbrough U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Derby County U21 aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Derby County U21 - Middlesbrough U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (3.3)
    3.87
    (3.7)
    1.81
    (1.83)
    10.4%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 29 and 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Middlesbrough U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Middlesbrough U21 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County U21 - Middlesbrough U21 were as follows:
    05.11.2023 Middlesbrough U21 - Derby County U21 1:0
    24.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Middlesbrough U21 1:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Chelsea U21 (1)Middlesbrough U21 (16)1 : 0
    2Tottenham U21 (8)Leicester U21 (9)1 : 0
    3Ipswich U21 (5)Brighton U21 (12)1 : 2
    4Fulham U21 (4)West Ham U21 (13)2 : 3
    5Southampton U21 (6)Aston Villa U21 (11)3 : 4
    6Manchester City U21 (3)Arsenal U21 (14)3 : 1
    7Liverpool U21 (7)Crystal Palace U21 (10)3 : 4
    8Manchester Utd U21 (2)Sunderland U21 (15)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Chelsea U21Tottenham U211 : 3
    2Brighton U21West Ham U21
    3Aston Villa U21Manchester City U212 : 3
    4Crystal Palace U21Manchester Utd U21