Middlesbrough vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 12
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.47
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
178
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Long passes
71% (35/49)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
78% (171/220)55% (41/75)
Crosses
22% (6/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.46
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
817
Tackles
35% (6/17)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.470.50
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Windass J. , Thomason G. (A),
  • 22', Brunt L. , Scarr D. ,
  • 32', Windass J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Dobson G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nypan S. , Browne A. ,
  • 46', Burgzorg D. , Conway T. ,
  • 46', Targett M. , Silvera S. ,
  • 46', Whittaker M. , Ayling L. ,
  • 63', Windass J. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 64', Longman R. , Cacace L. ,
  • 64', Thomason G. , O'Brien L. ,
  • 65', O'Brien L. 🟨,
  • 68', Sene M. K. , Strelec D. ,
  • 71', James M. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Hackney H. ,
  • 84', Moore K. , Smith S. ,
  • 90+1', Scarr D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
53.9%
Draw
25.7%
Wrexham
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.4% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.6% 22%

Middlesbrough - Wrexham Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(1.84)
3.7
(3.55)
4.6
(4.11)
5.2%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Wrexham?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Middlesbrough (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Middlesbrough (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Doyle C. (Red Card) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Wrexham
    22.10.2025 Wrexham - Oxford United 1:0
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One