Middlesbrough vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 12
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.47
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
178
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Long passes
71% (35/49)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
78% (171/220)55% (41/75)
Crosses
22% (6/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.46
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
817
Tackles
35% (6/17)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.470.50
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Windass J. , Thomason G. (A),
  • 22', Brunt L. , Scarr D. ,
  • 32', Windass J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Dobson G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nypan S. , Browne A. ,
  • 46', Burgzorg D. , Conway T. ,
  • 46', Targett M. , Silvera S. ,
  • 46', Whittaker M. , Ayling L. ,
  • 63', Windass J. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 64', Longman R. , Cacace L. ,
  • 64', Thomason G. , O'Brien L. ,
  • 65', O'Brien L. 🟨,
  • 68', Sene M. K. , Strelec D. ,
  • 71', James M. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Hackney H. ,
  • 84', Moore K. , Smith S. ,
  • 90+1', Scarr D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
53.9%
Draw
25.7%
Wrexham
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.4% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.6% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Middlesbrough - Wrexham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.84)
    3.7
    (3.55)
    4.6
    (4.11)
    5.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Wrexham?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Middlesbrough (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Middlesbrough (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 22 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Doyle C. (Red Card) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Wrexham
    22.10.2025 Wrexham - Oxford United 1:0
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One