Middlesbrough vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 12
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.47
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
178
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Long passes
71% (35/49)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
78% (171/220)55% (41/75)
Crosses
22% (6/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.46
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
817
Tackles
35% (6/17)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.470.50
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Windass J. , Thomason G. (A),
  • 22', Brunt L. , Scarr D. ,
  • 32', Windass J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Dobson G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nypan S. , Browne A. ,
  • 46', Burgzorg D. , Conway T. ,
  • 46', Targett M. , Silvera S. ,
  • 46', Whittaker M. , Ayling L. ,
  • 63', Windass J. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 64', Longman R. , Cacace L. ,
  • 64', Thomason G. , O'Brien L. ,
  • 65', O'Brien L. 🟨,
  • 68', Sene M. K. , Strelec D. ,
  • 71', James M. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Hackney H. ,
  • 84', Moore K. , Smith S. ,
  • 90+1', Scarr D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
53.9%
Draw
25.7%
Wrexham
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.4% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.6% 22%

Middlesbrough - Wrexham Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(1.84)
3.7
(3.55)
4.6
(4.11)
5.2%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Wrexham?
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Doyle C. (Red Card) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Wrexham
    22.10.2025 Wrexham - Oxford United 1:0
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One