Result
0:1
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 44
- Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (247/354) | 77% (346/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (247/354) | 77% (346/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (33/81) | 33% (25/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (50/96) | 51% (43/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Longman R. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Windass J. ⚽, Smith S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Longman R. ↓, Kabore I. ↑,
- 56', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 56', McDonnell J. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 62', Emakhu A. 🟨,
- 66', Kabore I. 🟨,
- 67', Konak Y. E. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 67', Long S. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
- 70', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
- 71', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
- 88', Spencer B. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
- 90+2', Mills S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Windass J. ↓, Cleworth M. ↑,
- 90+4', Dobson G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
39.7% | Draw
28.9% | Wrexham
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Oxford United - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.65) |
3.3
(3.3) |
3.01 ↑
(2.48) |
5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 17.8% – 64.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 7).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Shoulder Injury)
Goodrham T.
(Ankle Injury)
Leigh G.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L.
(Hamstring Injury)
James A.
(Knee Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sheaf B.
(Knee Injury)
Vyner Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Currie J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Wrexham?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Oxford United?
Wrexham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Wrexham were as follows:
22.10.2025
Wrexham
-
Oxford United
1:0
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Wrexham
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
