Wrexham vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.15
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
79% (305/387)82% (339/413)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.08
Total shots
116
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
79% (305/387)82% (339/413)
Long passes
38% (20/52)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)62% (57/92)
Crosses
22% (4/18)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.19
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1212
Tackles
80% (8/10)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4858
Clearances
3237
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.080.69
Goals prevented
0.08-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Broadhead N. , Moore K. (A),
  • 37', Hyam D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mills S. , Lankshear W. ,
  • 60', Broadhead N. , Windass J. ,
  • 65', Dembele S. 🟨,
  • 67', Doyle C. 🟥,
  • 69', Thomason G. , Brunt L. ,
  • 70', Dembele S. , Krastev F. ,
  • 70', Prelec N. , Harris M. ,
  • 80', Vaulks W. , Harris L. ,
  • 80', Spencer B. , Placheta P. ,
  • 83', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 87', Kabore I. , Scarr D. ,
  • 88', Moore K. , Smith S. ,
  • 88', Cacace L. , Longman R. ,
  • 90+6', Smith S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
49.6%
Draw
26.6%
Oxford United
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25.8% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 25.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Wrexham - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.79)
    3.59
    (3.65)
    4.02
    (4.4)
    5.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Oxford United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Wrexham (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.18%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 20).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Wrexham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Wrexham
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One