Marbellí vs Mijas-Las Lagunas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Marcos ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 74', 🟥,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Marbellí
35.8%
Draw
31.2%
Mijas-Las Lagunas
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 28.9% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbellí's form might have worsened.
  • Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbellí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.22)
    2.93
    (3.2)
    2.76
    (2.96)
    9.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Marbellí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mijas-Las Lagunas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Marbellí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Mijas-Las Lagunas - Marbellí 1:2
    Latest results of Marbellí
    09.11.2025 Marbellí - Motril 1:1
    02.11.2025 Mancha Real - Marbellí 0:1
    26.10.2025 Marbellí - Arenas Armilla 1:0
    11.10.2025 Marbellí - Torreperogil 1:1
    Latest results of Mijas-Las Lagunas
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril27159346:222454
    2Mijas Las Lagunas27156631:171451
    3Arenas Armilla26147532:171549
    4Torre del Mar26129532:211145
    5Churriana de la Vega27127824:28-443
    6Marbelli26117829:22740
    7Torredonjimeno271010732:31140
    8Huetor Vega271071032:32037
    9Atletico de Porcuna261131231:26536
    10Granada CF B27811834:33135
    11UD San Pedro26871126:31-531
    12Melilla B26791019:22-330
    13CD Alhaurino27791130:36-630
    14Martos27791128:34-630
    15Huetor Tajar27781232:36-429
    16Mancha26761321:30-927
    17El Palo27581423:43-2023
    18CD Torreperogil26461615:36-2118

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation