Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/04/2026 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
84
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
59%63%
1st serve points won
71% (29/41)63% (33/52)
2nd serve points won
52% (15/29)60% (18/30)
Break Points Saved
2/52/4
1st return points won
37% (19/52)29% (12/41)
2nd return points won
40% (12/30)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
2/43/5
Winners
2917
Unforced errors
3523
Net points won
71% (5/7)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
63% (44/70)62% (51/82)
Return Points Won
38% (31/82)37% (26/70)
Total Points Won
49% (75/152)51% (77/152)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Return games won
17% (2/12)25% (3/12)
Total games won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Pavel Kotov
59.1%
Mikhail Kukushkin
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Pavel Kotov - Mikhail Kukushkin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.53)

    2.29
    (2.33)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Pavel Kotov - Mikhail Kukushkin?
  • Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kotov is ranked ATP: 262. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 283.
    • Kotov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kukushkin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kotov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pavel Kotov - Mikhail Kukushkin were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Mikhail Kukushkin - Pavel Kotov 2:0
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    15.04.2026 Pavel Kotov - Leandro Riedi Kotov P. Retired
    14.04.2026 Yi Zhou - Pavel Kotov Zhou Y. Retired
    11.04.2026 Fajing Sun - Pavel Kotov 1:2
    10.04.2026 Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin 2:1
    Latest results of Mikhail Kukushkin