Result
4:3
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 3
- Referee: Colelli A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/367) | 78% (256/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.87 | 2.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/367) | 78% (256/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (85/120) | 66% (63/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.85 | 3.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', Keijzer M. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Severini E. (Pen),
- 32', 1 - 1, Renzotti M. ⚽, Kyvag T. (A),
- 37', 1 - 2, Soffia A. ⚽, Kyvag T. (A),
- 45+1', Bredgaard S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Johansen O. ↓, Orsi B. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Janogy M. ⚽, Snerle E. (A),
- 61', Keijzer M. ↓, Koivisto E. ↑,
- 63', Snerle E. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
- 63', Cherubini M. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
- 72', Piga J. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
- 72', Mascarello M. ↓, Cernoia V. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Renzotti M. ⚽,
- 82', Woldvik E. ↓, Lombardi E. ↑,
- 86', Cernoia V. 🟨,
- 90', Kyvag T. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Janogy M. ⚽, Severini E. (A),
- 90+7', 4 - 3, Tryggvadottir K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
41.5% | Draw
26% | Milan
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Fiorentina - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.22) |
3.53 ↓
(3.65) |
2.83 ↓
(2.84) |
8.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.
- Fiorentina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Milan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Milan?
Fiorentina has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Fiorentina?
Milan has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Milan were as follows:
12.04.2025
Milan
-
Fiorentina
5:3
02.03.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
0:0
28.01.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:0
16.01.2025
Milan
-
Fiorentina
1:1
24.11.2024
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:2
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Lazio W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Napoli W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Fiorentina W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Juventus W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Sassuolo W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Parma W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | AC Milan W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Como W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Genoa W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ternana W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
