Result
1:0
29/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia Women - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Denmark | DAZN |
Finland | DAZN |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
United-kingdom | DAZN, LFC TV, LFCTV GO |
Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/427) | 79% (342/435) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/427) | 79% (342/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 49% (29/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (62/105) | 67% (99/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cherubini M. ↓, Curmark F. ↑,
- 46', Johansen O. ↓, Filangeri M. ↑,
- 61', Tryggvadottir K. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
- 70', Omarsdottir I. ↓, Eiriksdottir H. ↑,
- 72', Park Soo-Jeong ↓, Cernoia V. ↑,
- 80', Kyvag T. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
- 90', Stokic S. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Faerge E. (A),
- 90+5', Bredgaard S. ↓, Orsi B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina 45.3% | Draw 25.5% | Milan 29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fiorentina - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↓ (2.15) |
3.59 ↑ (3.45) |
3.13 ↑ (2.83) |
9.3% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Milan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Fiorentina is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Milan?
Fiorentina has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Fiorentina?
Milan has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Milan were as follows:
20.01.2026
Milan
-
Fiorentina
1:1
18.10.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
4:3
12.04.2025
Milan
-
Fiorentina
5:3
02.03.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
0:0
28.01.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Cesena W | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Brescia W | |
| 4 | Bye | Juventus W | |
| 5 | Napoli W | Bye | |
| 6 | Venezia W | Frosinone W | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Sassuolo W | |
| 9 | Genoa W | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Verona W | |
| 12 | Bye | AC Milan W | |
| 13 | Bologna W | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Freedom W | |
| 16 | Bye | Fiorentina W | |
| 17 | Lumezzane W | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Arezzo W | |
| 20 | Bye | AS Roma W | |
| 21 | Parma W | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | San Marino Academy W | |
| 24 | Bye | Lazio W | |
| 25 | Trastevere Calcio W | Vicenza W | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Bye | Ternana W | |
| 28 | Bye | Como W | |
| 29 | Como W | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | RES Roma W | |
| 32 | Bye | Inter W | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Cesena W | Brescia W | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Juventus W | |
| 3 | Napoli W | Venezia W | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Sassuolo W | |
| 5 | Genoa W | Verona W | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | AC Milan W | |
| 7 | Bologna W | Freedom W | 4 : 3 |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentina W | |
| 9 | Lumezzane W | Arezzo W | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | AS Roma W | |
| 11 | Parma W | San Marino Academy W | 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Lazio W | |
| 13 | Trastevere Calcio W | Ternana W | 0 : 3 |
| 14 | Bye | Como W | |
| 15 | Como W | RES Roma W | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Inter W | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cesena W | Juventus W | 1 : 7 |
| 2 | Napoli W | Sassuolo W | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Genoa W | AC Milan W | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bologna W | Fiorentina W | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Lumezzane W | AS Roma W | 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Parma W | Lazio W | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Ternana W | Como W | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Como W | Inter W | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Juventus W | Napoli W | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | AC Milan W | Fiorentina W | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | AS Roma W | Lazio W | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Ternana W | Inter W | 0 : 4, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Juventus W | Fiorentina W | |
| 2 | AS Roma W | Inter W | |
Final