Fiorentina vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Women Fiorentina - Milan
Result
4:3
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Women - Round 3
  • Referee: Colelli A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.271.85
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
83% (306/367)78% (256/327)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.271.85
xG on target (xGOT)
3.872.85
Total shots
915
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2423
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
155
Passes
83% (306/367)78% (256/327)
Long passes
41% (15/37)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
71% (85/120)66% (63/96)
Crosses
35% (6/17)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.891.51
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
515
Tackles
73% (8/11)80% (20/25)
Duels won
3337
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.853.87
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', Keijzer M. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Severini E. (Pen),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Renzotti M. , Kyvag T. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Soffia A. , Kyvag T. (A),
  • 45+1', Bredgaard S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Johansen O. , Orsi B. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Janogy M. , Snerle E. (A),
  • 61', Keijzer M. , Koivisto E. ,
  • 63', Snerle E. , Tryggvadottir K. ,
  • 63', Cherubini M. , Bonfantini A. ,
  • 72', Piga J. , Cesarini E. ,
  • 72', Mascarello M. , Cernoia V. ,
  • 77', 2 - 3, Renzotti M. ,
  • 82', Woldvik E. , Lombardi E. ,
  • 86', Cernoia V. 🟨,
  • 90', Kyvag T. , Park Soo-Jeong ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Janogy M. , Severini E. (A),
  • 90+7', 4 - 3, Tryggvadottir K. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
41.5%
Draw
26%
Milan
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 25.4% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 24.4% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Fiorentina - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.22)
    3.53
    (3.65)
    2.83
    (2.84)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.
    • Fiorentina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Milan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Milan were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 5:3
    02.03.2025 Fiorentina - Milan 0:0
    28.01.2025 Fiorentina - Milan 2:0
    16.01.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 1:1
    24.11.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    11.10.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 2:2
    04.10.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 1:0
    14.09.2025 Fiorentina - Genoa 2:1
    06.09.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:1
    23.08.2025 Fiorentina - Como 2:0
    Latest results of Milan
    12.10.2025 Milan - Roma 1:2
    14.09.2025 Milan - Ternana 2:1
    06.09.2025 Roma - Milan 1:0
    30.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1
    24.08.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 0:2
    Italian Serie A Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma W33009:279
    2Lazio W32014:316
    3Napoli W32016:606
    4Inter W31207:255
    5Fiorentina W31116:604
    6Juventus W31111:104
    7Sassuolo W31112:204
    8Parma W31112:5-34
    9AC Milan W31026:7-13
    10Como W31022:3-13
    11Genoa W31025:503
    12Ternana W30034:12-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
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