Result
1:1
20/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia Women - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/380) | 85% (437/513) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (294/380) | 85% (437/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (16/56) | 48% (16/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (33/60) | 64% (82/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (22/31) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Woldvik E. ⚽, Catena M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Faerge E. ↓, Van Der Zanden I. ↑,
- 46', Renzotti M. ↓, Stokic S. ↑,
- 53', Mascarello M. 🟨,
- 54', Mascarello M. ↓, van Dooren K. ↑,
- 61', Omarsdottir I. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
- 61', Catena M. ↓, Severini E. ↑,
- 61', Janogy M. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
- 71', Park Soo-Jeong ↓, Cernoia V. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Arrigoni G. ⚽,
- 80', Cherubini M. ↓, Lombardi E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
37.7% | Draw
25.3% | Fiorentina
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Milan - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.2) |
3.6
(3.6) |
2.46 ↓
(2.8) |
9.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Milan - Fiorentina?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 1.
- In recent matches, Milan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fiorentina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Fiorentina?
Milan has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Milan?
Fiorentina has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
18.10.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
4:3
12.04.2025
Milan
-
Fiorentina
5:3
02.03.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
0:0
28.01.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:0
16.01.2025
Milan
-
Fiorentina
1:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Cesena W | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Brescia W | |
| 4 | Bye | Juventus W | |
| 5 | Napoli W | Bye | |
| 6 | Venezia W | Frosinone W | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Sassuolo W | |
| 9 | Genoa W | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Verona W | |
| 12 | Bye | AC Milan W | |
| 13 | Bologna W | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Freedom W | |
| 16 | Bye | Fiorentina W | |
| 17 | Lumezzane W | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Arezzo W | |
| 20 | Bye | AS Roma W | |
| 21 | Parma W | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | San Marino Academy W | |
| 24 | Bye | Lazio W | |
| 25 | Trastevere Calcio W | Vicenza W | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Bye | Ternana W | |
| 28 | Bye | Como W | |
| 29 | Como W | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | RES Roma W | |
| 32 | Bye | Inter W | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Cesena W | Brescia W | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Juventus W | |
| 3 | Napoli W | Venezia W | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Sassuolo W | |
| 5 | Genoa W | Verona W | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | AC Milan W | |
| 7 | Bologna W | Freedom W | 4 : 3 |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentina W | |
| 9 | Lumezzane W | Arezzo W | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | AS Roma W | |
| 11 | Parma W | San Marino Academy W | 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Lazio W | |
| 13 | Trastevere Calcio W | Ternana W | 0 : 3 |
| 14 | Bye | Como W | |
| 15 | Como W | RES Roma W | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Inter W | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cesena W | Juventus W | 1 : 7 |
| 2 | Napoli W | Sassuolo W | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Genoa W | AC Milan W | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bologna W | Fiorentina W | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Lumezzane W | AS Roma W | 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Parma W | Lazio W | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Ternana W | Como W | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Como W | Inter W | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Juventus W | Napoli W | |
| 2 | AC Milan W | Fiorentina W | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | AS Roma W | Lazio W | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Ternana W | Inter W | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finalsFinal
