Fiorentina vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia Women - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkDAZN
finlandFinlandDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, LFC TV, LFCTV GO
usaUsaDAZN USA

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.851.10
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
42
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
47
Passes
81% (344/427)79% (342/435)
Expected goals (xG)
0.851.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.16
Total shots
816
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
39
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
57
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2129
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
77
Passes
81% (344/427)79% (342/435)
Long passes
45% (28/62)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
59% (62/105)67% (99/147)
Crosses
19% (3/16)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.780.88
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
77
Tackles
80% (12/15)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3426
Clearances
2514
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.160.86
Goals prevented
0.16-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cherubini M. , Curmark F. ,
  • 46', Johansen O. , Filangeri M. ,
  • 61', Tryggvadottir K. , Bonfantini A. ,
  • 70', Omarsdottir I. , Eiriksdottir H. ,
  • 72', Park Soo-Jeong , Cernoia V. ,
  • 80', Kyvag T. , Dompig C. ,
  • 90', Stokic S. , Renzotti M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Bredgaard S. , Faerge E. (A),
  • 90+5', Bredgaard S. , Orsi B. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
45.3%
Draw
25.5%
Milan
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 26.2% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 25.5% 31%

Fiorentina - Milan Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.02
(2.15)
3.59
(3.45)
3.13
(2.83)
9.3%
(10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Milan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Milan were as follows:
    20.01.2026 Milan - Fiorentina 1:1
    18.10.2025 Fiorentina - Milan 4:3
    12.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 5:3
    02.03.2025 Fiorentina - Milan 0:0
    28.01.2025 Fiorentina - Milan 2:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    24.01.2026 Lazio - Fiorentina 3:0
    20.01.2026 Milan - Fiorentina 1:1
    17.01.2026 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    21.12.2025 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2
    13.12.2025 Como - Fiorentina 1:3
    Latest results of Milan
    25.01.2026 Milan - Ternana 3:0
    20.01.2026 Milan - Fiorentina 1:1
    17.01.2026 Parma - Milan 0:0
    21.12.2025 Genoa - Milan 2:3
    13.12.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:5
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Cesena WBye
    2ByeBrescia W
    4ByeJuventus W
    5Napoli WBye
    6Venezia WFrosinone W1 : 0
    8ByeSassuolo W
    9Genoa WBye
    10ByeVerona W
    12ByeAC Milan W
    13Bologna WBye
    14ByeFreedom W
    16ByeFiorentina W
    17Lumezzane WBye
    18ByeArezzo W
    20ByeAS Roma W
    21Parma WBye
    22ByeSan Marino Academy W
    24ByeLazio W
    25Trastevere Calcio WVicenza W3 : 2
    26ByeTernana W
    28ByeComo W
    29Como WBye
    30ByeRES Roma W
    32ByeInter W

    1/16-finals
    1Cesena WBrescia W2 : 1
    2ByeJuventus W
    3Napoli WVenezia W5 : 1
    4ByeSassuolo W
    5Genoa WVerona W4 : 0
    6ByeAC Milan W
    7Bologna WFreedom W4 : 3
    8ByeFiorentina W
    9Lumezzane WArezzo W1 : 0
    10ByeAS Roma W
    11Parma WSan Marino Academy W4 : 0
    12ByeLazio W
    13Trastevere Calcio WTernana W0 : 3
    14ByeComo W
    15Como WRES Roma W3 : 2
    16ByeInter W

    1/8-finals
    1Cesena WJuventus W1 : 7
    2Napoli WSassuolo W3 : 1
    3Genoa WAC Milan W2 : 3
    4Bologna WFiorentina W1 : 2
    5Lumezzane WAS Roma W1 : 4
    6Parma WLazio W0 : 1
    7Ternana WComo W2 : 1
    8Como WInter W1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Juventus WNapoli W2 : 1, 2 : 1
    2AC Milan WFiorentina W0 : 1, 1 : 1
    3AS Roma WLazio W3 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Ternana WInter W0 : 4, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Juventus WFiorentina W
    2AS Roma WInter W

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2