Result
2:2
23/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 7
- Referee: Bozzetto G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/397) | 79% (316/398) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/397) | 79% (316/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (44/75) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (92/134) | 67% (89/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Grimshaw C. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Park Soo-Jeong ⚽, Cernoia V. (A),
- 55', 2 - 0, Ijeh E. ⚽, Cernoia V. (A),
- 58', Dompig C. 🟥,
- 74', Fercocq H. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
- 74', Brustia M. ↓, Skupien K. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Clelland L. ⚽, Galabadaarachchi J. (A),
- 86', Cernoia V. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
- 87', Philtjens D. ↓, Sabatino D. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Sabatino D. ⚽, Clelland L. (A),
- 90+8', van Dooren K. ↓, Kyvag T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
52.6% | Draw
24.6% | Sassuolo
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Milan - Sassuolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.84) |
3.74 ↑
(3.71) |
4.04 ↑
(3.8) |
8.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
- Milan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sassuolo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Milan is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Sassuolo?
Milan has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Milan?
Sassuolo has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Sassuolo were as follows:
24.08.2025
Milan
-
Sassuolo
0:2
01.02.2025
Sassuolo
-
Milan
2:3
03.11.2024
Milan
-
Sassuolo
1:0
10.02.2024
Sassuolo
-
Milan
1:0
06.02.2024
Milan
-
Sassuolo
3:0
Latest results of Sassuolo
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 29:14 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lazio W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Como W | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Ternana W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 11 |
| 11 | Parma W | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13:31 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
