Result
2:0
13/05/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 35
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Belgium | Eleven Sports |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | CMore |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Fotboll |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Spezia
22.4% | Draw
27.4% | Milan
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Spezia - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↓
(4.47) |
3.48 ↓
(3.63) |
1.91 ↑
(1.79) |
4.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Milan?
Users Predictions:
Milan will win
(47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% – 93.55%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).
- Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (53.03%), project points - 30, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (83%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Milan has the most likely position - 5 (33.31%), project points - 69, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (49%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 58, big importance 82, big match rating 70. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2.
- Spezia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Milan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Milan have a series of home games.
- In this match Milan is a favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Agudelo K.
(Yellow Cards)
Beck J.
(Foot Injury)
Holm E.
(Groin Injury)
Maldini D.
(Muscle Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Sala J.
(Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I.
(Muscle Injury)
Ibrahimovic Z.
(Calf Injury)
Krunic R.
(Knee Injury)
Messias J.
(Muscle Injury)
Thiaw M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Milan: Florenzi A.
(Injury)
Leao R.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Milan?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Spezia?
Milan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Milan were as follows:
05.11.2022
Milan
-
Spezia
2:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 66:24 | 42 | 69 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 47:23 | 24 | 63 |
| 3 | Napoli | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:30 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | Como | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
| 5 | Juventus | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 40:23 | 17 | 54 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 41:27 | 14 | 50 |
| 8 | Lazio | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 43 |
| 9 | Bologna | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Udinese | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Parma | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Genoa | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Torino | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 35:44 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:44 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | Lecce | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21:40 | -19 | 27 |
| 19 | Verona | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 18 |
| 20 | Pisa | 30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
