Spezia vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Spezia - Milan
Result
2:0
13/05/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 35
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
belgiumBelgiumEleven Sports
brazilBrazilESPN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandCMore
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport
swedenSwedenCMore Fotboll
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport
worldWorldSetanta Sports Eurasia

Chances of winning


Spezia
22.4%
Draw
27.4%
Milan
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 26.1% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 25.9% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Spezia - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.27
    (4.47)
    3.48
    (3.63)
    1.91
    (1.79)
    4.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Spezia - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.31%93.55%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).
    • Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (53.03%), project points - 30, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (83%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Milan has the most likely position - 5 (33.31%), project points - 69, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (49%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 58, big importance 82, big match rating 70. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2.
    • Spezia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Milan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Milan have a series of home games.
    • In this match Milan is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Agudelo K. (Yellow Cards) Beck J. (Foot Injury) Holm E. (Groin Injury) Maldini D. (Muscle Injury) Moutinho J. (Foot Injury) Sala J. (Injury) Zovko P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Muscle Injury) Ibrahimovic Z. (Calf Injury) Krunic R. (Knee Injury) Messias J. (Muscle Injury) Thiaw M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Florenzi A. (Injury) Leao R. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Milan were as follows:
    05.11.2022 Milan - Spezia 2:1
    Latest results of Spezia
    06.05.2023 Cremonese - Spezia 2:0
    03.05.2023 Atalanta - Spezia 3:2
    22.04.2023 Sampdoria - Spezia 1:1
    14.04.2023 Spezia - Lazio 0:3
    08.04.2023 Fiorentina - Spezia 1:1
    Latest results of Milan
    10.05.2023 Milan - Inter Milan 0:2
    06.05.2023 Milan - Lazio 2:0
    03.05.2023 Milan - Cremonese 1:1
    23.04.2023 Milan - Lecce 2:0
    18.04.2023 Napoli - Milan 1:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B