Result
0:3
14/04/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 30
- Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | CMore, CMore Sport |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Fotboll |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Spezia
20.7% | Draw
27.1% | Lazio
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Spezia - Lazio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.63 ↑
(4.35) |
3.53 ↑
(3.51) |
1.83 ↓
(1.85) |
4.6%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Lazio?
Users Predictions:
Lazio will win
(68 of 81 users predict this - 83.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.96% – 91.94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).
- Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (32.7%), project points - 35, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (24%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Lazio has the most likely position - 2 (47.79%), project points - 71, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, a good chance of qualify for ucl (88%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 56, importance 47, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0.
- Recent matches Spezia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lazio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Lazio is a favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Yellow Cards)
Caldara M.
(Injury)
Holm E.
(Injury)
Kovalenko V.
(Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Agudelo K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lazio: Fares M.
(Injury)
Gila M.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Lazio?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Spezia?
Lazio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Lazio were as follows:
02.10.2022
Lazio
-
Spezia
4:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82:31 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48:29 | 19 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58:30 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52:29 | 23 | 64 |
| 6 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 62 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 55 |
| 8 | Lazio | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Bologna | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 49 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 47 |
| 12 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 39:58 | -19 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27:53 | -26 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24:57 | -33 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa ✔ | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B
