Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, Cassaro R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Milazzo
40.5% | Draw
27.7% | Castrumfavara
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milazzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milazzo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Milazzo - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.27) |
3.29 ↓
(3.33) |
2.86 ↑
(2.76) |
10%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- In recent matches, Milazzo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Castrumfavara has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Castrumfavara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Milazzo won against Castrumfavara?
Milazzo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Milazzo?
Castrumfavara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milazzo - Castrumfavara were as follows:
Latest results of Milazzo
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
