Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, Cassaro R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Milazzo
40.5% | Draw
27.7% | Castrumfavara
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milazzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milazzo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Milazzo - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.27) |
3.29 ↓
(3.33) |
2.86 ↑
(2.76) |
10%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- In recent matches, Milazzo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Castrumfavara has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Castrumfavara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Milazzo won against Castrumfavara?
Milazzo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Milazzo?
Castrumfavara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milazzo - Castrumfavara were as follows:
Latest results of Milazzo
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
