Result
2:1
28/01/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 3
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (480/542) | 64% (155/242) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (480/542) | 64% (155/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (37/59) | 22% (13/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (159/196) | 52% (41/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
- 4', 1 - 0, Goez Y. ⚽, Estupinan A. (A),
- 23', Pisano M. 🟨,
- 25', Llinas A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Contreras R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', Garcia M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Castro L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 46', Quintero D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 46', Llinas A. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 59', Jimenez M. S. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 67', Angulo J. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 67', Contreras R. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
- 73', Serje Orozco E. C. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽,
- 81', Goez Y. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
- 81', Morelo W. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 82', Pisano M. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
- 85', Estupinan A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/de75kn7a
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
28.4% | Draw
32.4% | Millonarios
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↓
(3.35) |
2.89 ↓
(3.15) |
2.39 ↑
(2.18) |
7.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 0.
- Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Millonarios?
Deportivo Pasto has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportivo Pasto?
Millonarios has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios were as follows:
10.09.2025
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
01.02.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Millonarios
0:1
08.12.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Millonarios
0:0
20.11.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
03.11.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
