Result
1:0
10/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (225/300) | 79% (276/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (225/300) | 79% (276/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/98) | 54% (37/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 22', Vega S. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Giordana S. ⚽, Diaz Samuel M. (A),
- 41', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 42', Arias J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Valencia J. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
- 46', Bernal J. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
- 46', Vega S. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 47', Hurtado J. 🟨,
- 53', Castro A. 🟨,
- 55', Valois Y. 🟨,
- 60', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 71', Giordana S. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 71', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 71', Preciado P. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
- 75', Banguero D. 🟨,
- 77', Castro A. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
- 77', Mendez J. ↓, Ordonez F. ↑,
- 81', Hurtado J. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 87', Mosquera E. 🟨,
- 88', Rios J. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 90+6', Gil N. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yehjvjjh
Chances of winning
Millonarios
60.1% | Draw
25.8% | Deportivo Pasto
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Deportivo Pasto aligns with the current prediction.
Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.64) |
3.58 ↑
(3.37) |
6.58 ↑
(6.2) |
6.9%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 4.
- In recent matches, Millonarios has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportivo Pasto?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Millonarios?
Deportivo Pasto has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
01.02.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Millonarios
0:1
08.12.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Millonarios
0:0
20.11.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
03.11.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
14.04.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Millonarios
2:3
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Pereira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Envigado | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Once Caldas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Chico | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
