Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	0.20
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Goal Attempts
13	3
Shots on Goal
2	0
Shots off Goal
3	3
Blocked Shots
8	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
9	2
Shots inside the Box
10	2
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
Free Kicks
12	13
Offsides
3	3
Fouls
13	12
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
34	29
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	7
Passes
78% (340/437)	60% (159/265)
Passes in the final third
72% (121/169)	35% (34/97)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	33% (4/12)
Tackles
54% (7/13)	43% (6/14)
Clearances Total
22	29
Interceptions
4	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Offord L. ↓, Waller C. ↑,
73', Lewis J. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
73', Kelly J. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
75', Smith A. 🟨,
78', White J. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
79', Browne M. 🟨,
80', Bugiel O. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
33.9%

Draw
29.7%

AFC Wimbledon
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.37)	3.18 ↓ (3.39)	2.59 ↓ (2.83)	5.9% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 1.
MK Dons is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wimbledon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 17 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against AFC Wimbledon?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Milton Keynes Dons?

AFC Wimbledon has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

03.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon 0:2

14.09.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0

02.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

23.01.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon 3:1

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

21.01.2025 Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons 4:2 ✺

04.01.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City 0:1 ✺

01.01.2025 Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

29.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

18.01.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Tranmere Rovers 2:0 ✺

02.01.2025 Newport County - AFC Wimbledon 1:2 ✺

30.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

26.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

21.12.2024 Chesterfield - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+