Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (390/498) | 71% (221/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (390/498) | 71% (221/313) |
| Long passes |
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| 45% (45/99) | 32% (25/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (79/138) | 65% (95/147) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (5/17) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (9/13) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.58 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.42 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Nelson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Ekpiteta M. ⚽, Mendez-Laing N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 46', Agius C. ↓, Pond A. ↑,
- 59', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
- 60', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 66', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽, Ekpiteta M. (A),
- 74', Holicek M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 74', Sanders M. H. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 3, Thibaut A. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
- 84', Kelly L. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra 27.2% | Draw 26% | Milton Keynes Dons 46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.45 ↑ (3.19) |
3.61 ↑ (3.46) |
2 ↓ (2.07) |
6.6% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). MK Dons will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- MK Dons will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Back Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Mellish J.
(Red Card)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Inactive)
Thomas C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Crewe Alexandra?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
18.10.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crewe Alexandra
3:0
21.04.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
29.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
16.03.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Crewe Alexandra
3:1
02.09.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:1
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One