Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 12
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.27	1.69
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
6	13
Shots on target
1	7
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
62% (209/336)	65% (204/313)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.27	1.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	2.19
Total shots
6	13
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
9	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
62% (209/336)	65% (204/313)
Long passes
18% (15/82)	41% (29/71)
Passes in final third
46% (51/111)	58% (67/116)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.25	0.94
Throw-ins
25	25
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
81% (13/16)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
54	59
Clearances
25	29
Interceptions
12	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
2.19	0.09
Goals prevented
-0.81	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Kilgour A. (Own goal),
45', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
54', Mola C. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
75', Gilbey A. 🟨,
76', Senior J. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
80', Chang A. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Maguire L. ⚽,
85', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
85', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
89', Lopata K. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
90+1', Paterson C. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90+2', Nemane A. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
90+2', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Leko J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
28.7%

Draw
30.9%

Milton Keynes Dons
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.1%

33.9%

Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.44)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	2.42 ↓ (2.76)	-1.6% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 70%). MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2.
Bristol Rovers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Hamstring Injury) Negru S. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Collins A. (Hamstring Injury) Jones G. (Hamstring Injury) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Knock) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Sanders J. (Calf Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Bristol Rovers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Bristol Rovers?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

04.02.2023 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2

13.12.2022 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 4:1

11.10.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers 0:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

07.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Salford City 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Colchester United - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barrow 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

07.10.2025 Reading - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - West Ham United U21 1:5 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	21	12	4	5	30:19	11	40
2	Swindon	21	12	4	5	35:25	10	40
3	Bromley	21	11	6	4	34:23	11	39
4	Notts Co	21	11	5	5	35:22	13	38
5	MK Dons	21	10	6	5	42:24	18	36
6	Salford	21	11	3	7	32:30	2	36
7	Chesterfield	21	9	8	4	37:31	6	35
8	Cambridge Utd	21	9	7	5	24:18	6	34
9	Fleetwood	21	9	6	6	32:28	4	33
10	Crewe	21	9	5	7	34:28	6	32
11	Colchester	21	8	7	6	35:26	9	31
12	Gillingham	21	7	9	5	29:24	5	30
13	Barnet	21	7	7	7	28:25	3	28
14	Oldham	21	6	9	6	21:17	4	27
15	Grimsby	21	7	6	8	33:30	3	27
16	Tranmere	21	6	8	7	35:34	1	26
17	Accrington	21	6	6	9	23:25	-2	24
18	Cheltenham	21	7	3	11	18:34	-16	24
19	Barrow	21	5	6	10	21:30	-9	21
20	Shrewsbury	21	4	7	10	20:34	-14	19
21	Crawley	21	4	6	11	25:36	-11	18
22	Bristol Rovers	21	5	3	13	16:39	-23	18
23	Harrogate	21	4	5	12	18:35	-17	17
24	Newport	21	3	4	14	21:41	-20	13

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League