Result
0:4
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 12
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (209/336) | 65% (204/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (209/336) | 65% (204/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (15/82) | 41% (29/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (51/111) | 58% (67/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, Kilgour A. (Own goal),
- 45', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 54', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 54', Mola C. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
- 75', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 76', Senior J. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
- 80', Chang A. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Maguire L. ⚽,
- 85', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 85', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 89', Lopata K. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 90+1', Paterson C. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 90+2', Nemane A. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
- 90+2', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 4, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Leko J. (A),
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
28.7% | Draw
30.9% | Milton Keynes Dons
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(2.44) |
3.3 ↓
(3.32) |
2.42 ↓
(2.76) |
-1.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 70%). MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2.
- Bristol Rovers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jones G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Knock)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Sanders J.
(Calf Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Bristol Rovers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Bristol Rovers?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
04.02.2023
Bristol Rovers
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:2
13.12.2022
Bristol Rovers
-
Milton Keynes Dons
4:1
11.10.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | Swindon | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Salford | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Crewe | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 9 | Bromley | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 27:24 | 3 | 24 |
| 11 | Barnet | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 22 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 22 |
| 14 | Oldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 15 | Barrow | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Colchester | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 16 |
| 19 | Crawley | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 20 | Accrington | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 21 | Harrogate | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 13 |
| 24 | Newport | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | -11 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
