Bristol Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 12
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.27	1.69
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
6	13
Shots on target
1	7
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
62% (209/336)	65% (204/313)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.27	1.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	2.19
Total shots
6	13
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
2	8
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
9	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
62% (209/336)	65% (204/313)
Long passes
18% (15/82)	41% (29/71)
Passes in final third
46% (51/111)	58% (67/116)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.25	0.94
Throw-ins
25	25
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
81% (13/16)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
54	59
Clearances
25	29
Interceptions
12	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
2.19	0.09
Goals prevented
-0.81	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Kilgour A. (Own goal),
45', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
54', Mola C. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
75', Gilbey A. 🟨,
76', Senior J. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
80', Chang A. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Maguire L. ⚽,
85', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
85', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
89', Lopata K. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
90+1', Paterson C. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90+2', Nemane A. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
90+2', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Leko J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
28.7%

Draw
30.9%

Milton Keynes Dons
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.1%

33.9%

Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.44)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	2.42 ↓ (2.76)	-1.6% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 70%). MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2.
Bristol Rovers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Hamstring Injury) Negru S. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Collins A. (Hamstring Injury) Jones G. (Hamstring Injury) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Knock) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Sanders J. (Calf Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Bristol Rovers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Bristol Rovers?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

04.02.2023 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2

13.12.2022 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 4:1

11.10.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Bristol Rovers 0:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

07.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Salford City 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Colchester United - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barrow 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

07.10.2025 Reading - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - West Ham United U21 1:5 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	25	15	6	4	44:27	17	51
2	Swindon	24	14	4	6	39:26	13	46
3	Walsall	24	13	4	7	32:23	9	43
4	Salford	24	13	4	7	35:31	4	43
5	MK Dons	25	11	8	6	46:28	18	41
6	Cambridge Utd	24	11	8	5	28:19	9	41
7	Chesterfield	25	10	10	5	42:35	7	40
8	Notts Co	24	11	6	7	36:26	10	39
9	Colchester	24	9	9	6	38:28	10	36
10	Crewe	25	10	6	9	39:33	6	36
11	Barnet	24	9	8	7	32:26	6	35
12	Grimsby	24	9	7	8	35:30	5	34
13	Fleetwood	24	9	7	8	32:30	2	34
14	Accrington	24	9	6	9	27:26	1	33
15	Oldham	24	7	11	6	24:19	5	32
16	Gillingham	24	7	11	6	31:28	3	32
17	Tranmere	25	8	8	9	39:39	0	32
18	Cheltenham	25	9	3	13	25:41	-16	30
19	Barrow	24	6	6	12	26:35	-9	24
20	Bristol Rovers	24	6	3	15	21:44	-23	21
21	Crawley	25	4	7	14	28:45	-17	19
22	Shrewsbury	24	4	7	13	21:41	-20	19
23	Harrogate	25	4	6	15	19:40	-21	18
24	Newport	24	4	5	15	24:43	-19	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League