Result
1:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County
58.1% | Draw
24.4% | Milton Keynes Dons
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.58) |
3.89 ↑
(3.82) |
5.38 ↓
(5.62) |
6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 19).
- Derby has the most likely position - 6 (32.88%), project points - 77, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (29.96%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (16%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 23, importance 33, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Derby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Derby County?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
12.11.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Derby County
1:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Doncaster | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Wigan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Luton | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Stockport County | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Bolton | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Northampton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Exeter | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Plymouth | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 21 | Reading | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 22 | Burton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
