Derby County vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Derby County
58.1%
Draw
24.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 24.4% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 23.3% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.58)
    3.89
    (3.82)
    5.38
    (5.62)
    6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 19).
    • Derby has the most likely position - 6 (32.88%), project points - 77, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (29.96%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (16%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has small quality 23, importance 33, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Derby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    12.11.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Derby County 1:3
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1282218:10826
    3Bradford City1375123:16726
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1481519:15425
    6Lincoln1373318:11724
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1361618:18019
    10Luton1361615:15019
    11Barnsley1253418:17118
    12Doncaster1453613:19-618
    13Wigan1445517:18-117
    14Leyton Orient1452721:23-217
    15Rotherham1352613:16-317
    16Northampton1452710:13-317
    17Wycombe1444618:16216
    18Exeter1451814:14016
    19Reading1436515:19-415
    20Burton1343611:16-515
    21Port Vale1334611:12-113
    22Plymouth1341817:23-613
    23Blackpool1433813:22-912
    24Peterborough1331910:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two