Result
1:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County 58.1% | Draw 24.4% | Milton Keynes Dons 17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.58) |
3.89 ↑ (3.82) |
5.38 ↓ (5.62) |
6% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 19).
- Derby has the most likely position - 6 (32.88%), project points - 77, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (29.96%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (16%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 23, importance 33, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Derby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Derby County?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
12.11.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Derby County
1:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 45:26 | 19 | 55 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 49 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 46 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 37:32 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Bolton | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 | Luton | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 34:28 | 6 | 35 |
| 11 | Reading | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Exeter | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 14 | Plymouth | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:39 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 32 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:43 | -4 | 32 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 18 | Wigan | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 19 | Burton | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 26:35 | -9 | 30 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 21 | Northampton | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 29 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 26 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two