Result
1:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County 58.1% | Draw 24.4% | Milton Keynes Dons 17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.58) |
3.89 ↑ (3.82) |
5.38 ↓ (5.62) |
6% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 19).
- Derby has the most likely position - 6 (32.88%), project points - 77, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (29.96%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (16%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 23, importance 33, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Derby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Derby County?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
12.11.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Derby County
1:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 35 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 31 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | Bolton | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Luton | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 11 | Wigan | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 24 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 24 |
| 15 | Northampton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:23 | 0 | 22 |
| 17 | Reading | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 22 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 22 |
| 19 | Burton | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 22 |
| 20 | Exeter | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 19:25 | -6 | 16 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 16 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19:32 | -13 | 16 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two