Result
1:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County
58.1% | Draw
24.4% | Milton Keynes Dons
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.58) |
3.89 ↑
(3.82) |
5.38 ↓
(5.62) |
6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 19).
- Derby has the most likely position - 6 (32.88%), project points - 77, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (29.96%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (16%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 23, importance 33, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Derby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Derby County?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
12.11.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Derby County
1:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
