Result
0:4
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 21
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (219/337) | 61% (212/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (219/337) | 61% (212/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (18/69) | 34% (31/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (53/105) | 50% (70/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.96 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 14', Evans J. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Collins A. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 29', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', O'Connor A. ↓, Bradbury T. ↑,
- 46', Burrell W. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
- 61', McAleny C. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
- 68', Fox B. ↓, Falkingham J. ↑,
- 71', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 71', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 4, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
- 78', Cursons T. 🟨,
- 81', Nemane A. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 82', Paterson C. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 82', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 90+6', Sutton L. ↓, Barnes L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town 18.1% | Draw 22.7% | Milton Keynes Dons 59.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.14 ↑ (4.91) |
4.14 ↑ (3.87) |
1.58 ↓ (1.62) |
6.8% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Sanders J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.5:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 2:5).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Harrogate Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
28.01.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
01.10.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:5
20.04.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:5
30.09.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Harrogate Town
0:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 54:32 | 22 | 62 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:24 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Swindon | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50:34 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 59:33 | 26 | 54 |
| 6 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Walsall | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:41 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Crewe | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Barnet | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Colchester | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 45 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 13 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:50 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32:51 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 22 | Barrow | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 24 |
| 23 | Newport | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22:50 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League