Result
0:4
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 21
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (219/337) | 61% (212/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (219/337) | 61% (212/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (18/69) | 34% (31/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (53/105) | 50% (70/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.96 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 14', Evans J. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Collins A. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 29', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', O'Connor A. ↓, Bradbury T. ↑,
- 46', Burrell W. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
- 61', McAleny C. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
- 68', Fox B. ↓, Falkingham J. ↑,
- 71', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 71', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 4, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
- 78', Cursons T. 🟨,
- 81', Nemane A. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 82', Paterson C. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 82', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 90+6', Sutton L. ↓, Barnes L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town 18.1% | Draw 22.7% | Milton Keynes Dons 59.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.14 ↑ (4.91) |
4.14 ↑ (3.87) |
1.58 ↓ (1.62) |
6.8% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Sanders J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.5:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 2:5).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Harrogate Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
28.01.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
01.10.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:5
20.04.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:5
30.09.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Harrogate Town
0:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 40:26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Swindon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Walsall | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 40 |
| 5 | Salford | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Notts Co | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 38 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Colchester | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 33 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 31:26 | 5 | 32 |
| 12 | Barnet | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 32 |
| 13 | Crewe | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 32 |
| 14 | Oldham | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 31 |
| 16 | Accrington | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 30 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Barrow | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 20 | Crawley | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 19 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 22 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18:44 | -26 | 18 |
| 23 | Newport | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 17 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League