Result
4:1
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 36
- Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (362/480) | 73% (263/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (362/480) | 73% (263/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 36% (24/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (88/134) | 59% (51/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 3.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Brenan T. ⚽,
- 26', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Offord L. ⚽, Crowley D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 51', 3 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
- 60', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
- 60', Crowley D. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
- 63', 4 - 1, Wiles B. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 67', Gibson L. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 67', Acquah E. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 70', Gray H. ↓, Waller S. ↑,
- 73', Offord L. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 80', Brenan T. ↓, Sutton L. ↑,
- 81', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
- 81', Collins A. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
67.7% | Draw
20.6% | Harrogate Town
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38
(1.38) |
4.56 ↓
(4.61) |
7.87 ↑
(7.28) |
7.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, MK Dons is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Cass L.
(Inactive)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Injury)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Inactive)
Paterson C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Smith R.
(Injury)
- We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 3.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Harrogate Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town were as follows:
20.12.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:4
28.01.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
01.10.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:5
20.04.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:5
30.09.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Harrogate Town
0:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
