Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 40
Referee: Young A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.14
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
5	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
83% (461/554)	83% (407/489)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	0.00
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
5	0
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
6	2
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
23	10
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
83% (461/554)	83% (407/489)
Long passes
28% (13/47)	30% (17/56)
Passes in final third
69% (91/132)	71% (92/130)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.27
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
60% (9/15)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
41	47
Clearances Total
15	21
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	1.58
Goals prevented
0.00	-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Abbott G. (A),
53', Palmer M. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Tsaroulla N. ⚽,
62', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Jarvis W. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
75', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
75', Grant C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
75', Whitaker C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
76', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
80', McGoldrick D. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
80', Macari L. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
81', Gilbey A. 🟨,
87', Edwards C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Notts County
55.4%

Draw
23.8%

Milton Keynes Dons
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for Milton Keynes Dons have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)	3.97 ↓ (4.2)	4.52 ↑ (4.5)	6.3% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 51.5% – 92.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Notts County is a favorite.
There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury) White J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury) Jones J. (Inactive)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.1:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Notts County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Notts County?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

26.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 0:2

01.04.2024 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:3

09.09.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1

Latest results of Notts County

29.03.2025 Newport County - Notts County 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Notts County - Chesterfield 1:2 ✺

11.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4 ✺

25.03.2025 Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	13	8	2	3	19:12	7	26
2	Swindon	13	8	1	4	24:19	5	25
3	MK Dons	13	7	3	3	26:13	13	24
4	Grimsby	13	7	3	3	25:15	10	24
5	Gillingham	13	6	4	3	18:12	6	22
6	Chesterfield	13	6	4	3	23:20	3	22
7	Salford	13	7	1	5	18:17	1	22
8	Notts Co	13	6	3	4	23:15	8	21
9	Cambridge Utd	13	6	3	4	16:13	3	21
10	Barnet	13	6	2	5	16:13	3	20
11	Crewe	13	6	1	6	17:16	1	19
12	Fleetwood	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19
13	Bromley	13	4	6	3	19:17	2	18
14	Colchester	13	4	5	4	21:18	3	17
15	Barrow	13	5	2	6	11:13	-2	17
16	Bristol Rovers	13	5	2	6	14:21	-7	17
17	Oldham	13	3	6	4	10:10	0	15
18	Tranmere	12	3	5	4	20:18	2	14
19	Harrogate	13	4	2	7	15:20	-5	14
20	Accrington	12	3	3	6	11:14	-3	12
21	Shrewsbury	13	3	3	7	10:20	-10	12
22	Cheltenham	13	3	2	8	9:25	-16	11
23	Crawley	13	2	3	8	10:22	-12	9
24	Newport	13	2	2	9	11:23	-12	8

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League