Result
1:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (273/381) | 69% (205/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (273/381) | 69% (205/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (18/75) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (45/110) | 54% (45/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Iorpenda T. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
- 46', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 61', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 67', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 67', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Paterson C. ⚽,
- 78', Dennis M. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 82', Hall T. 🟨,
- 90', Roos K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Hall T. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 90+1', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
51% | Draw
26.3% | Notts County
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.98) |
3.53 ↑
(3.45) |
4.11 ↑
(3.38) |
7.2%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Notts County?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County were as follows:
09.12.2025
Notts County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:2
02.04.2025
Notts County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:0
26.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Notts County
0:2
01.04.2024
Notts County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
3:3
09.09.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Notts County
1:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
