Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
3:0
02/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Young A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.14
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
83% (461/554)83% (407/489)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.580.00
Total shots
114
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2310
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
83% (461/554)83% (407/489)
Long passes
28% (13/47)30% (17/56)
Passes in final third
69% (91/132)71% (92/130)
Crosses
31% (4/13)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.27
Fouls
1010
Tackles
60% (9/15)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4147
Clearances Total
1521
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.58
Goals prevented
0.00-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, McGoldrick D. , Abbott G. (A),
  • 53', Palmer M. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Tsaroulla N. ,
  • 62', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Hogan S. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Jarvis W. , Grant C. (A),
  • 75', Thompson-Sommers K. , Leko J. ,
  • 75', Grant C. , Traore M. ,
  • 75', Whitaker C. , Edwards C. ,
  • 76', Tsaroulla N. , Gordon K. ,
  • 80', McGoldrick D. , Hinchy J. ,
  • 80', Macari L. , Johnson Z. ,
  • 81', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 87', Edwards C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Notts County
55.4%
Draw
23.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 22.3% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 23.9% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • The chances for Milton Keynes Dons have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.65)
    3.97
    (4.2)
    4.52
    (4.5)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 51.5%92.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Notts County is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury) White J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury) Jones J. (Inactive)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 0:2
    01.04.2024 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:3
    09.09.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League