Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
72% (273/381)	69% (205/298)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	0.34
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
10	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
72% (273/381)	69% (205/298)
Long passes
24% (18/75)	30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
41% (45/110)	54% (45/83)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	0.49
Throw-ins
33	19
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
83% (15/18)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
44	40
Clearances
30	26
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.34	0.95
Goals prevented
-0.66	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Iorpenda T. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
46', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
61', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
67', Dennis M. 🟨,
67', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Paterson C. ⚽,
78', Dennis M. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
82', Hall T. 🟨,
90', Roos K. 🟨,
90+1', Hall T. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
90+1', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
51%

Draw
26.3%

Notts County
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.3%

25.9%

Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.98)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	4.11 ↑ (3.38)	7.2% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County?

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Notts County?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County were as follows:

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0

26.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 0:2

01.04.2024 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:3

09.09.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

26.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

13.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Notts County 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	23	13	6	4	40:26	14	45
2	Swindon	23	13	4	6	37:26	11	43
3	Walsall	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
4	MK Dons	23	11	7	5	44:25	19	40
5	Salford	23	12	4	7	33:30	3	40
6	Notts Co	23	11	6	6	36:25	11	39
7	Chesterfield	23	10	8	5	39:32	7	38
8	Cambridge Utd	23	10	8	5	26:19	7	38
9	Fleetwood	23	9	7	7	32:29	3	34
10	Colchester	23	8	9	6	37:28	9	33
11	Gillingham	23	7	11	5	31:26	5	32
12	Barnet	23	8	8	7	30:25	5	32
13	Crewe	23	9	5	9	34:31	3	32
14	Oldham	23	7	10	6	23:18	5	31
15	Grimsby	23	8	7	8	34:30	4	31
16	Accrington	23	8	6	9	26:26	0	30
17	Tranmere	23	7	8	8	37:37	0	29
18	Cheltenham	23	8	3	12	21:37	-16	27
19	Barrow	23	6	6	11	25:33	-8	24
20	Crawley	23	4	7	12	27:40	-13	19
21	Shrewsbury	23	4	7	12	21:38	-17	19
22	Bristol Rovers	23	5	3	15	18:44	-26	18
23	Newport	23	4	5	14	23:41	-18	17
24	Harrogate	23	4	5	14	18:37	-19	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League