Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
72% (273/381)	69% (205/298)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	0.34
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	4
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
10	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
72% (273/381)	69% (205/298)
Long passes
24% (18/75)	30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
41% (45/110)	54% (45/83)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	0.49
Throw-ins
33	19
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
83% (15/18)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
44	40
Clearances
30	26
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.34	0.95
Goals prevented
-0.66	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Iorpenda T. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
46', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
54', Gilbey A. 🟨,
61', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
67', Dennis M. 🟨,
67', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Paterson C. ⚽,
78', Dennis M. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
82', Hall T. 🟨,
90', Roos K. 🟨,
90+1', Hall T. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
90+1', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
51%

Draw
26.3%

Notts County
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.3%

25.9%

Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.98)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	4.11 ↑ (3.38)	7.2% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milton Keynes Dons will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Notts County?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County were as follows:

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0

26.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 0:2

01.04.2024 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:3

09.09.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

26.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

13.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Notts County 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	26	15	7	4	44:27	17	52
2	Swindon	25	14	4	7	41:29	12	46
3	Walsall	25	14	4	7	35:24	11	46
4	Salford	25	14	4	7	38:33	5	46
5	MK Dons	26	12	8	6	48:28	20	44
6	Cambridge Utd	25	12	8	5	30:20	10	44
7	Notts Co	25	12	6	7	38:27	11	42
8	Chesterfield	26	10	11	5	42:35	7	41
9	Colchester	25	10	9	6	39:28	11	39
10	Crewe	26	11	6	9	42:34	8	39
11	Grimsby	25	10	7	8	36:30	6	37
12	Oldham	25	8	11	6	26:20	6	35
13	Barnet	25	9	8	8	32:27	5	35
14	Gillingham	25	8	11	6	34:30	4	35
15	Fleetwood	25	9	7	9	33:32	1	34
16	Accrington	25	9	6	10	27:28	-1	33
17	Tranmere	26	8	8	10	40:42	-2	32
18	Cheltenham	26	9	3	14	26:43	-17	30
19	Barrow	25	6	6	13	27:38	-11	24
20	Shrewsbury	25	5	7	13	22:41	-19	22
21	Bristol Rovers	25	6	3	16	21:45	-24	21
22	Crawley	26	4	7	15	29:47	-18	19
23	Harrogate	26	4	6	16	19:41	-22	18
24	Newport	25	4	5	16	26:46	-20	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League