Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.75	0.39
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Goal Attempts
20	5
Shots on Goal
8	1
Shots off Goal
7	4
Blocked Shots
5	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Shots inside the Box
17	2
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
Free Kicks
10	9
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
9	10
Yellow Cards
0	2
Throw-ins
24	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
33	9
Passes
67% (175/260)	85% (504/592)
Passes in the final third
56% (63/112)	65% (81/125)
Crosses
39% (9/23)	5% (1/20)
Tackles
52% (14/27)	45% (5/11)
Clearances Total
34	29
Interceptions
7	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Stockley J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Stockley J. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
53', Tripp C. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
55', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
65', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
66', Lawrence N. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
70', Walters R. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
71', Stockley J. ↓, Umolu J. ↑,
83', Tolaj L. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
90', Crowley D. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 0, Garrity B. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
46%

Draw
28.1%

Milton Keynes Dons
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.7%

23.5%

Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)	3.35 ↓ (3.56)	3.64 ↓ (3.88)	6.3% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
MK Dons is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Foot Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Leko J. (Knee Injury) Sanders J. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Port Vale?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

12.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale 0:1

04.03.2023 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

Latest results of Port Vale

11.03.2025 Colchester United - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Port Vale - Harrogate Town 0:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Port Vale - Salford City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Bradford City - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	23	13	6	4	40:26	14	45
2	Swindon	23	13	4	6	37:26	11	43
3	Walsall	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
4	MK Dons	23	11	7	5	44:25	19	40
5	Salford	23	12	4	7	33:30	3	40
6	Notts Co	23	11	6	6	36:25	11	39
7	Chesterfield	23	10	8	5	39:32	7	38
8	Cambridge Utd	23	10	8	5	26:19	7	38
9	Fleetwood	23	9	7	7	32:29	3	34
10	Colchester	23	8	9	6	37:28	9	33
11	Gillingham	23	7	11	5	31:26	5	32
12	Barnet	23	8	8	7	30:25	5	32
13	Crewe	23	9	5	9	34:31	3	32
14	Oldham	23	7	10	6	23:18	5	31
15	Grimsby	23	8	7	8	34:30	4	31
16	Accrington	23	8	6	9	26:26	0	30
17	Tranmere	23	7	8	8	37:37	0	29
18	Cheltenham	23	8	3	12	21:37	-16	27
19	Barrow	23	6	6	11	25:33	-8	24
20	Crawley	23	4	7	12	27:40	-13	19
21	Shrewsbury	23	4	7	12	21:38	-17	19
22	Bristol Rovers	23	5	3	15	18:44	-26	18
23	Newport	23	4	5	14	23:41	-18	17
24	Harrogate	23	4	5	14	18:37	-19	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League