Result
3:0
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
- Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (175/260) | 85% (504/592) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 56% (63/112) | 65% (81/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 5% (1/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 45% (5/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Stockley J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Stockley J. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 53', Tripp C. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
- 55', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
- 65', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 66', Lawrence N. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 70', Walters R. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
- 71', Stockley J. ↓, Umolu J. ↑,
- 83', Tolaj L. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
- 90', Crowley D. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, Garrity B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Port Vale 46% | Draw 28.1% | Milton Keynes Dons 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.88) |
3.35 ↓ (3.56) |
3.64 ↓ (3.88) |
6.3% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
- Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- MK Dons is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Foot Injury)
Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Leko J.
(Knee Injury)
Sanders J.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Port Vale?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
12.10.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Port Vale
0:1
04.03.2023
Port Vale
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League