Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
  • Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.39
Ball Possession
31%69%
Goal Attempts
205
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
50
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
172
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
01
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2420
Touches in the Opposition Box
339
Passes
67% (175/260)85% (504/592)
Passes in the final third
56% (63/112)65% (81/125)
Crosses
39% (9/23)5% (1/20)
Tackles
52% (14/27)45% (5/11)
Clearances Total
3429
Interceptions
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. , Stockley J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Stockley J. , Curtis R. (A),
  • 53', Tripp C. , O'Reilly T. ,
  • 55', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
  • 65', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 66', Lawrence N. , Hogan S. ,
  • 70', Walters R. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 71', Stockley J. , Umolu J. ,
  • 83', Tolaj L. , Garrity B. ,
  • 90', Crowley D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 3 - 0, Garrity B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
46%
Draw
28.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 25.7% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.88)
    3.35
    (3.56)
    3.64
    (3.88)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
    • Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • MK Dons is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Foot Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Leko J. (Knee Injury) Sanders J. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale 0:1
    04.03.2023 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League