Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
  • Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.39
Ball Possession
31%69%
Goal Attempts
205
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
50
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
172
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
01
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2420
Touches in the Opposition Box
339
Passes
67% (175/260)85% (504/592)
Passes in the final third
56% (63/112)65% (81/125)
Crosses
39% (9/23)5% (1/20)
Tackles
52% (14/27)45% (5/11)
Clearances Total
3429
Interceptions
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. , Stockley J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Stockley J. , Curtis R. (A),
  • 53', Tripp C. , O'Reilly T. ,
  • 55', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
  • 65', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 66', Lawrence N. , Hogan S. ,
  • 70', Walters R. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 71', Stockley J. , Umolu J. ,
  • 83', Tolaj L. , Garrity B. ,
  • 90', Crowley D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 3 - 0, Garrity B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
46%
Draw
28.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 25.7% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.88)
    3.35
    (3.56)
    3.64
    (3.88)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
    • Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • MK Dons is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Foot Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Leko J. (Knee Injury) Sanders J. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale 0:1
    04.03.2023 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League