Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Martinez J. ↓, Ochoa Brandon ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Magana D. ⚽, Razo L. (A),
- 69', del Campo R. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
- 69', Martinez J. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
- 73', Corona N. 🟨,
- 76', Hernandez S. 🟨,
- 76', Corona N. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
- 76', Palma A. ↓, Botello O. ↑,
- 77', Dominguez M. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 82', Magana D. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 90+3', Razo L. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 90+3', Escoboza A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jaiba Brava
46.8% | Draw
27.6% | Atlético Morelia
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Jaiba Brava - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.87) |
3.35 ↓
(3.58) |
3.62 ↓
(3.9) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1.
- Jaiba Brava is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Morelia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético Morelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jaiba Brava will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Atlético Morelia?
Jaiba Brava has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Jaiba Brava?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
08.11.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Jaiba Brava
0:0
11.01.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Jaiba Brava
1:0
27.07.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final
