Austin II vs Minnesota United 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Parmer Filed (Austin, TX).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.59
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
84% (349/416)	84% (310/368)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.83	1.31
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
19	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
19	12
Passes
84% (349/416)	84% (310/368)
Long passes
36% (17/47)	63% (33/52)
Passes in final third
63% (46/73)	70% (79/113)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.89	0.54
Throw-ins
25	16
Fouls
12	19
Tackles
46% (6/13)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
46	37
Clearances
17	22
Interceptions
5	15
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.31	1.83
Goals prevented
0.31	0.83

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Kabia A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Grogan P. ⚽, Burton M. (A),
29', Farkarlun B. 🟨,
42', Ciesla D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Burton M. ↓, Badawiya M. ↑,
60', Torres E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
61', Farkarlun B. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Randell A. ⚽,
66', Randell A. 🟨,
66', Kabia A. ↓, Schumacher B. ↑,
66', Putt T. ↓, Saidi I. ↑,
67', Schumacher B. 🟨,
72', Grogan P. ↓, Danciutiu V. ↑,
78', Gonzalez A. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
78', Martinez A. ↓, Casillas-Lopez C. ↑,
80', Djakaria B. 🟨,
83', Farris J. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Mesanvi L. (Pen),
1, Bonachera R. (Pen),
2, Saidi I. (Pen),
2, Alastuey J. (Pen),
3, Niang B. (Pen),
3, Ciesla D. (Pen),
4, Farris J. (Pen),
4, Gomez A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Austin II
40.8%

Draw
24.4%

Minnesota United 2
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

26.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin II's performance.

Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Austin II - Minnesota United 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)	3.77 ↑ (3.44)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)	8.7% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Austin II - Minnesota United 2?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin II (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Austin II won against Minnesota United 2?

Austin II has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against Austin II?

Minnesota United 2 has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Austin II - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:

14.03.2025 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 0:1

08.09.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2

28.08.2024 Austin II - Minnesota United 2 2:1

18.07.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 3:2

10.09.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Austin II 2:1

Latest results of Austin II

13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Austin II - Sporting Kansas City II 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Austin II 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Austin II 4:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United 2

18.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:3 ✺

02.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:1 ✺

24.04.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Minnesota United 2 0:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United 2 2:4 ✺

30.03.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Minnesota United 2 1:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
4	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
5	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
6	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
7	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
8	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
2	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
3	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
4	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
5	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
6	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
7	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
2	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
3	Town FC	15	7	2	2	4	34:21	27
4	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
5	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
6	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
7	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
3	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
4	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
5	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
6	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
7	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
4	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
5	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
6	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
7	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
8	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
9	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
10	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
11	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
12	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
13	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
14	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18
15	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
3	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
4	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
6	Town FC	15	7	2	2	4	34:21	27
7	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
8	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
9	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
10	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
11	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
12	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
13	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21
14	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)