Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (288/349) | 83% (346/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (288/349) | 83% (346/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (40/64) | 61% (73/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
- 31', Moisa L. 🟨,
- 40', Dorsey L. ↓, Putt T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Barea J. ↓, Lineker Rodrigues ↑,
- 52', Villa G. 🟨,
- 61', Kamara M. 🟨,
- 63', Fischer B. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 1, Farina A. (Pen),
- 70', Hezarkhani A. 🟥,
- 71', Chandler K. 🟨,
- 73', Farina A. 🟨,
- 73', Moisa L. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
- 80', Zambrano M. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
- 83', Randell A. ↓, Nour M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Kamara M. ⚽, Chandler K. (A),
- 88', Jennings M. ↓, Henry K. ↑,
- 88', Silva T. ↓, Sandoval B. ↑,
- 88', Farina A. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Monarchs
46.9% | Draw
23.9% | Minnesota United 2
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.9) |
3.92 ↑
(3.76) |
3.19 ↓
(3.49) |
7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 3.
- Real Monarchs is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Minnesota 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Real Monarchs is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Real Monarchs will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Minnesota United 2?
Real Monarchs has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against Real Monarchs?
Minnesota United 2 has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
24.08.2025
Real Monarchs
-
Minnesota United 2
3:2
13.07.2025
Minnesota United 2
-
Real Monarchs
2:1
31.08.2024
Minnesota United 2
-
Real Monarchs
3:2
27.03.2024
Real Monarchs
-
Minnesota United 2
2:1
09.07.2023
Minnesota United 2
-
Real Monarchs
0:2
Latest results of Real Monarchs
Latest results of Minnesota United 2
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
