Minnesota United 2 vs Real Monarchs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs
Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.56
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
79% (305/388)83% (364/440)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.101.35
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
93
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
79% (305/388)83% (364/440)
Long passes
42% (23/55)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
55% (57/103)68% (64/94)
Crosses
33% (2/6)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.39
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1216
Tackles
85% (17/20)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5941
Clearances
129
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.352.10
Goals prevented
0.350.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Charpie W. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Moisa L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Romanshyn K. , Niang B. ,
  • 51', Grayson C. , Touray O. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Hille L. ,
  • 62', Kiingi K. , Farris J. ,
  • 66', Marquez O. 🟨,
  • 66', Randell A. , Nour M. ,
  • 67', Keller K. , Casillas-Lopez C. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Mesanvi L. ,
  • 72', Mesalles R. , Silva T. ,
  • 72', Calderon G. , Jennings M. ,
  • 84', Anderson O. 🟨,
  • 84', Mesanvi L. , Mawing D. ,
  • 85', Moisa L. , O'Gara L. ,
  • 90+5', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Minnesota United 2
40.1%
Draw
24.6%
Real Monarchs
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 23.6% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 24.1% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.4)
    3.7
    (3.8)
    2.58
    (2.3)
    9.9%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 3:2
    27.03.2024 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    09.07.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 0:2
    24.03.2023 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 0:3
    Latest results of Minnesota United 2
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II191052245:1742
    3Chicago Fire II191022549:3336
    4New England Revolution II18841531:2233
    5Toronto FC II20804824:3128
    6New York City II20723837:4028
    7Cincinnati 219470819:2426
    8Columbus Crew 2193121320:4113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville18932439:1935
    2Chattanooga20833631:3133
    3Carolina Core20544726:2727
    4Orlando City B207211027:4126
    5Crown Legacy20535730:3926
    6Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    7Atlanta United 218326724:3119


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County191013540:3235
    2Town FC17922442:2433
    3Real Monarchs18643531:3229
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    5Portland Timbers 219622930:3624
    6Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    7Los Angeles FC II196211031:4123


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Colorado Rapids 2201013638:3135
    3Austin FC II19734525:2231
    4North Texas19821833:3929
    5Minnesota 219713830:3126
    6Houston Dynamo 220632929:3126
    7Sporting Kansas City II192131318:4611


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II191052245:1742
    3Chicago Fire II191022549:3336
    4Huntsville18932439:1935
    5New England Revolution II18841531:2233
    6Chattanooga20833631:3133
    7Toronto FC II20804824:3128
    8New York City II20723837:4028
    9Carolina Core20544726:2727
    10Orlando City B207211027:4126
    11Crown Legacy20535730:3926
    12Cincinnati 219470819:2426
    13Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    14Atlanta United 218326724:3119
    15Columbus Crew 2193121320:4113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Ventura County191013540:3235
    3Colorado Rapids 2201013638:3135
    4Town FC17922442:2433
    5Austin FC II19734525:2231
    6North Texas19821833:3929
    7Real Monarchs18643531:3229
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    9Minnesota 219713830:3126
    10Houston Dynamo 220632929:3126
    11Portland Timbers 219622930:3624
    12Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    13Los Angeles FC II196211031:4123
    14Sporting Kansas City II192131318:4611

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)