Minnesota United vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.920.84
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
54
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
512
Passes
78% (289/370)80% (354/441)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.920.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.140.51
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
76
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
512
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free kicks
69
Passes
78% (289/370)80% (354/441)
Long passes
45% (21/47)59% (32/54)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)69% (104/151)
Crosses
9% (1/11)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.73
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
96
Tackles
71% (15/21)67% (16/24)
Duels won
5571
Clearances
3035
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
0.512.14
Goals prevented
0.511.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Duggan M. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Yeboah K. , Chancalay T. (A),
  • 69', Jabbari A. , Barlow T. ,
  • 69', Valenzuela G. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 77', Boxall M. , Padelford D. ,
  • 86', Hagglund N. , Powell A. ,
  • 86', Echenique E. , Mboma K. ,
  • 90+1', Hlongwane B. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90+1', Triantis N. , Gene O. ,
  • 90+6', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Barlow T. , Flores G. ,
  • 90+7', Gidi S. , Anunga T. ,
  • 90+7', Yeboah K. , Dieng M. ,
  • 90+10', Chancalay T. , Gressel J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
42%
Draw
27.2%
Cincinnati
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 25.4% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Minnesota United - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.46)
    3.48
    (3.72)
    3.08
    (2.61)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Cincinnati were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Minnesota United - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

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