Minnesota United vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.920.84
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
54
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
512
Passes
78% (289/370)80% (354/441)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.920.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.140.51
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
76
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
512
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free kicks
69
Passes
78% (289/370)80% (354/441)
Long passes
45% (21/47)59% (32/54)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)69% (104/151)
Crosses
9% (1/11)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.73
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
96
Tackles
71% (15/21)67% (16/24)
Duels won
5571
Clearances
3035
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
0.512.14
Goals prevented
0.511.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Duggan M. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Yeboah K. , Chancalay T. (A),
  • 69', Jabbari A. , Barlow T. ,
  • 69', Valenzuela G. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 77', Boxall M. , Padelford D. ,
  • 86', Hagglund N. , Powell A. ,
  • 86', Echenique E. , Mboma K. ,
  • 90+1', Hlongwane B. , Taylor D. ,
  • 90+1', Triantis N. , Gene O. ,
  • 90+6', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Barlow T. , Flores G. ,
  • 90+7', Gidi S. , Anunga T. ,
  • 90+7', Yeboah K. , Dieng M. ,
  • 90+10', Chancalay T. , Gressel J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
42%
Draw
27.2%
Cincinnati
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 25.4% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Minnesota United - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.46)
    3.48
    (3.72)
    3.08
    (2.61)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 23.8%76.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Cincinnati were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Minnesota United - Cincinnati 1:2
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

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