Minnesota United vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN).

MLS
Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.92	0.84
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	12
Passes
78% (289/370)	80% (354/441)
Yellow cards
2	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.92	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	0.51
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
5	5
Shots inside the box
9	7
Shots outside the box
7	6
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	12
Touches in opposition box
24	31
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
6	9
Passes
78% (289/370)	80% (354/441)
Long passes
45% (21/47)	59% (32/54)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)	69% (104/151)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	1.73
Throw ins
21	18
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
71% (15/21)	67% (16/24)
Duels won
55	71
Clearances
30	35
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.51	2.14
Goals prevented
0.51	1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Duggan M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Yeboah K. ⚽, Chancalay T. (A),
69', Jabbari A. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
69', Valenzuela G. ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
77', Boxall M. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
86', Hagglund N. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
86', Echenique E. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
90+1', Hlongwane B. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
90+1', Triantis N. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
90+6', Diaz J. 🟨,
90+7', Barlow T. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
90+7', Gidi S. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
90+7', Yeboah K. ↓, Dieng M. ↑,
90+10', Chancalay T. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Minnesota United
42%

Draw
27.2%

Cincinnati
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Minnesota United - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.46)	3.48 ↓ (3.72)	3.08 ↑ (2.61)	5.6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Cincinnati?

Minnesota United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Minnesota United?

Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Cincinnati were as follows:

18.09.2024 Minnesota United - Cincinnati 1:2

Latest results of Minnesota United

21.02.2026 Austin FC - Minnesota United 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Charlotte - Minnesota United 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United 0:3 ✺

24.11.2025 San Diego - Minnesota United 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.02.2026 Cincinnati - Universidad O&M 9:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Cincinnati - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Universidad O&M - Cincinnati 0:4 ✺

23.01.2026 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 1:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 0:4 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes	11	9	1	1	26:7	19	28
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	10	8	1	1	26:6	20	25
3	Los Angeles FC	11	6	3	2	19:8	11	21
4	Seattle Sounders	9	6	2	1	13:5	8	20
5	Minnesota United	11	6	2	3	14:16	-2	20
6	Real Salt Lake	10	6	1	3	19:14	5	19
7	FC Dallas	11	4	4	3	20:15	5	16
8	Houston Dynamo	10	5	0	5	13:18	-5	15
9	Colorado Rapids	11	4	1	6	22:19	3	13
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	11	3	4	4	16:17	-1	13
11	Austin FC	11	3	4	4	16:19	-3	13
12	San Diego FC	11	3	3	5	19:19	0	12
13	Portland Timbers	10	3	1	6	13:21	-8	10
14	St. Louis City	10	1	3	6	9:18	-9	6
15	Sporting Kansas City	10	1	2	7	8:26	-18	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	10	7	2	1	21:6	15	23
2	New England Revolution	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19
3	Inter Miami	11	5	4	2	22:19	3	19
4	Chicago Fire	10	5	2	3	19:11	8	17
5	DC United	11	4	3	4	13:15	-2	15
6	FC Cincinnati	11	4	3	4	22:25	-3	15
7	Charlotte	11	4	2	5	18:19	-1	14
8	Toronto FC	11	3	5	3	18:20	-2	14
9	New York City	11	3	3	5	19:18	1	12
10	Columbus Crew	11	3	3	5	16:16	0	12
11	New York Red Bulls	11	3	3	5	16:27	-11	12
12	Atlanta Utd	11	3	1	7	12:18	-6	10
13	Orlando City	11	3	1	7	16:32	-16	10
14	CF Montreal	10	3	0	7	14:23	-9	9
15	Philadelphia Union	11	1	3	7	9:17	-8	6

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)