Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/384) | 87% (473/543) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/384) | 87% (473/543) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 73% (46/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (55/99) | 80% (131/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Rosales J. 🟨,
- 43', Carballo F. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Diaz J. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
- 61', Rosales J. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
- 61', Rojas M. ↓, Pereira da Costa D. ↑,
- 61', Kelsy K. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
- 77', Yeboah K. ↓, Dieng M. ↑,
- 78', Gressel J. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 1, Romero N. (Own goal),
- 83', Velde K. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
- 83', Mosquera J. ↓, Miller E. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Lod R. ⚽, Trapp W. (A),
- 90+3', Pereyra J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
54.9% | Draw
23.1% | Portland Timbers
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Minnesota United - Portland Timbers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.55) |
4.08 ↓
(4.5) |
4.29 ↓
(4.75) |
5.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Portland Timbers?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
- Minnesota has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Portland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Minnesota is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H.
(Knee Injury)
Jung Ho-yeon
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Portland: Rodriguez J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Portland Timbers?
Minnesota United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Minnesota United?
Portland Timbers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Portland Timbers were as follows:
19.07.2025
Portland Timbers
-
Minnesota United
1:1
29.06.2024
Portland Timbers
-
Minnesota United
3:2
18.05.2024
Minnesota United
-
Portland Timbers
2:1
01.07.2023
Minnesota United
-
Portland Timbers
4:1
20.05.2023
Portland Timbers
-
Minnesota United
0:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
