Minnesota United vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Minnesota United - Portland Timbers
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.13
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
83% (318/384)87% (473/543)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.64
Total shots
916
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
713
Passes
83% (318/384)87% (473/543)
Long passes
46% (27/59)73% (46/63)
Passes in final third
56% (55/99)80% (131/164)
Crosses
23% (3/13)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.60
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
137
Tackles
43% (10/23)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5556
Clearances
2121
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.641.25
Goals prevented
0.640.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Rosales J. 🟨,
  • 43', Carballo F. , Chara D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,
  • 61', Rosales J. , Gressel J. ,
  • 61', Rojas M. , Pereira da Costa D. ,
  • 61', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 77', Yeboah K. , Dieng M. ,
  • 78', Gressel J. 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Romero N. (Own goal),
  • 83', Velde K. , Smith I. ,
  • 83', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Lod R. , Trapp W. (A),
  • 90+3', Pereyra J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
54.9%
Draw
23.1%
Portland Timbers
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 20.6% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 20.2% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Minnesota United - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.55)
    4.08
    (4.5)
    4.29
    (4.75)
    5.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Minnesota United - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Minnesota has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Portland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Minnesota is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Jung Ho-yeon (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Portland Timbers - Minnesota United 1:1
    29.06.2024 Portland Timbers - Minnesota United 3:2
    18.05.2024 Minnesota United - Portland Timbers 2:1
    01.07.2023 Minnesota United - Portland Timbers 4:1
    20.05.2023 Portland Timbers - Minnesota United 0:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)