Result
1:1
19/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | TSN 4 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.71 | 0.73 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (476/550) | 80% (256/322) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.71 | 0.73 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.24 | 0.59 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
87% (476/550) | 80% (256/322) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (27/49) | 40% (20/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (96/136) | 68% (65/96) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (9/26) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.04 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 6 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
31% (4/13) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.59 | 1.24 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.41 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Romero N. 🟨,
- 43', Lassiter A. 🟨,
- 45', Harvey C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Romero N. ↓, Boxall M. ↑,
- 46', Harvey C. ↓, Trapp W. ↑,
- 56', Lassiter A. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
- 61', Hlongwane B. ↓, Markanich A. ↑,
- 65', Pereyra J. 🟨,
- 71', Pereyra J. ↓, Yeboah K. ↑,
- 74', Ayala D. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
- 74', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
- 75', Rosales J. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Markanich A. ⚽, Gressel J. (A),
- 86', Paredes C. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽, Mosquera J. (A),
Chances of winning
Portland Timbers 31.3% | Draw 27% | Minnesota United 41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Timbers's form might have worsened.Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portland Timbers - Minnesota United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.03 ↑ (2.51) |
3.52 ↑ (3.46) |
2.28 ↓ (2.72) |
5.3% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Minnesota United?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
- Portland is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Minnesota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Portland: Antony
(Hamstring Injury)
McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H.
(Knee Injury)
Jung Ho-yeon
(Knee Injury)
Keller K.
(Thigh Injury)
Speel W.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Portland won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:36. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Minnesota United?
Portland Timbers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Portland Timbers?
Minnesota United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Minnesota United were as follows:
29.06.2024
Portland Timbers
-
Minnesota United
3:2
18.05.2024
Minnesota United
-
Portland Timbers
2:1
01.07.2023
Minnesota United
-
Portland Timbers
4:1
20.05.2023
Portland Timbers
-
Minnesota United
0:1
10.09.2022
Portland Timbers
-
Minnesota United
1:0
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Latest results of Minnesota United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)