Vancouver Whitecaps vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:0
15/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
4.081.07
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
84
Big chances
82
Corner kicks
37
Passes
87% (391/452)87% (394/451)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
4.081.07
xG on target (xGOT)
5.111.28
Total shots
168
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
137
Shots outside the box
31
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
82
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
3220
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free kicks
2223
Passes
87% (391/452)87% (394/451)
Long passes
51% (20/39)65% (17/26)
Passes in final third
78% (101/130)68% (54/79)
Crosses
41% (7/17)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.98
Throw ins
1516
Fouls
2322
Tackles
64% (14/22)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5345
Clearances
1519
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.285.11
Goals prevented
1.28-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Berhalter S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 13', 2 - 0, White B. , Sabbi E. (A), Berhalter S. (A2)
  • 22', 3 - 0, Laborda M. ,
  • 43', 4 - 0, Sabbi E. , Berhalter S. (A),
  • 45+4', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Harvey C. , Taylor D. ,
  • 46', Duncan K. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 54', 5 - 0, White B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', Cubas A. 🟨,
  • 64', Chancalay T. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 64', Triantis N. , Gene O. ,
  • 65', Berhalter S. , Larraz O. ,
  • 65', Sabbi E. , Sabaly C. ,
  • 65', Ocampo E. , Schonlau S. ,
  • 74', Taylor D. 🟨,
  • 74', 6 - 0, Sabaly C. , Laborda M. (A), Cubas A. (A2)
  • 77', White B. , Elloumi R. ,
  • 77', Jackson A. , Muller T. ,
  • 82', Padelford D. , Markanich A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vancouver Whitecaps
65.3%
Draw
20.3%
Minnesota United
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.6% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 20.7% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.51)
    4.71
    (4.35)
    6.65
    (5.9)
    5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Vancouver (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Vancouver (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 4 - 80%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 3.
    • Vancouver is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Minnesota has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Vancouver has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Vancouver is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Halbouni B. (Knee Injury) Schonlau S. (Calf Injury) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Boxall M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Rodriguez J. (Contusion)
    • We predict that Vancouver will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United 0:0
    27.04.2025 Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:3
    05.10.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United 0:1
    03.07.2024 Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:3
    06.05.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United 3:2
    Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

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