Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (489/576) | 67% (168/249) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (489/576) | 67% (168/249) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (150/194) | 55% (42/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Emmanuel Martinez ⚽, Moises (A),
- 18', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
- 45', Clayson 🟨,
- 45+1', Mancuso E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Neto Moura ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 61', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 66', Mancuso E. ↓, David Luiz ↑,
- 69', Moises ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 70', Iury Castilho ↓, Matheus Davo ↑,
- 70', Clayson ↓, Maceio ↑,
- 80', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 80', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 85', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 89', Fernandez P. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Cristian Renato ⚽, Matheus Davo (A),
- 90+4', Cristian Renato 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
38.3% | Draw
31.1% | Fortaleza
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mirassol - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(3.16) |
3.05 ↓
(3.24) |
3.07 ↑
(2.33) |
5.2%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Mirassol (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Mirassol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortaleza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Mirassol have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Matheus Bianqui
(Injury)
PH
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes
(Forearm injury)
Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Tinga
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Fortaleza?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Mirassol?
Fortaleza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Fortaleza were as follows:
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
