Fortaleza vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 21
  • Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.82
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (324/394)83% (372/450)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.551.24
Total shots
147
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
82% (324/394)83% (372/450)
Long passes
52% (24/46)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
77% (113/146)66% (57/86)
Crosses
13% (6/45)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.66
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1513
Tackles
60% (18/30)75% (15/20)
Duels won
6053
Clearances
2147
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.242.55
Goals prevented
0.242.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Edson Carioca ,
  • 21', Bareiro A. (Pen),
  • 25', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pablo Roberto , Pochettino T. ,
  • 62', Bareiro A. 🟨,
  • 63', Lucas Sasha , Yago Pikachu ,
  • 68', Chico , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 68', Jose Aldo , Chico Kim ,
  • 74', Bruno Pacheco , Weverson ,
  • 74', Bareiro A. , Lucero J. ,
  • 75', Negueba , Yago Felipe ,
  • 75', Edson Carioca , Cristian Renato ,
  • 79', Allanzinho , Marinho ,
  • 87', Neto Moura , Roni ,
  • 88', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 88', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pereira M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Marinho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
34.6%
Draw
31.4%
Mirassol
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 29.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 29.8% 25.6%

Fortaleza - Mirassol Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.97
(2.1)
3.21
(3.2)
2.94
(3.6)
-1.1%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Recent form of Fortaleza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mirassol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Andrade K. (Yellow Cards) Brenno (Finger Injury) Breno Lopes (Yellow Cards) Britez E. (Yellow Cards) Kuscevic B. (Inactive) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pereira M. (Inactive) Pierre (Inactive) Pochettino T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) PH (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Mirassol were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    16.08.2025 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:1
    09.08.2025 Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ 0:5
    03.08.2025 Corinthians - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    09.08.2025 Flamengo - Mirassol 2:1
    02.08.2025 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 3:2
    23.07.2025 Ceará - Mirassol 0:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet