Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/394) | 83% (372/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/394) | 83% (372/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (113/146) | 66% (57/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (6/45) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (18/30) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Edson Carioca ⚽,
- 21', Bareiro A. (Pen),
- 25', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 62', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 63', Lucas Sasha ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 68', Chico ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 68', Jose Aldo ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 74', Bruno Pacheco ↓, Weverson ↑,
- 74', Bareiro A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 75', Negueba ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 75', Edson Carioca ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 79', Allanzinho ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 87', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 88', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 88', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
- 90+1', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Marinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
34.6% | Draw
31.4% | Mirassol
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.1) |
3.21 ↑
(3.2) |
2.94 ↓
(3.6) |
-1.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Recent form of Fortaleza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Mirassol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Andrade K.
(Yellow Cards)
Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Breno Lopes
(Yellow Cards)
Britez E.
(Yellow Cards)
Kuscevic B.
(Inactive)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pereira M.
(Inactive)
Pierre
(Inactive)
Pochettino T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
PH
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo
(Finger Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Mirassol?
Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Fortaleza?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Mirassol were as follows:
06.04.2025
Mirassol
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
