Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (397/473) | 84% (388/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (397/473) | 84% (388/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (93/124) | 65% (50/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 22', Pablo Maia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Oscar ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 50', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
- 58', Alisson 🟨,
- 63', Edson Carioca ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 66', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Soares C. ↑,
- 66', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 66', Luciano ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 68', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 69', Yago Felipe ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 70', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 77', Ferraresi N. ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
- 78', Gabriel ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
- 79', Negueba ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 89', 0 - 2, Reinaldo (Pen),
Chances of winning
São Paulo
55.4% | Draw
26.8% | Mirassol
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
São Paulo - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.61) |
3.52 ↓
(3.81) |
5.34 ↓
(5.71) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
- São Paulo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mirassol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo
(Ankle Injury)
Igor Vinicius
(Back Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Marcos Antonio
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Alex Muralha
(Leg Injury)
David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Lucas Ramon
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:9. (average 2.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Mirassol?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against São Paulo?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Mirassol were as follows:
05.02.2025
São Paulo
-
Mirassol
4:1
23.01.2024
Mirassol
-
São Paulo
1:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
