Result
3:0
11/01/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 1
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (234/283) | 87% (410/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (234/283) | 87% (410/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (44/66) | 73% (80/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Lucas Mugni ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 0, Franco A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alisson ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 46', Bosshardt N. ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
- 46', Alesson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 48', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 62', Lucas Mugni ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 62', Neto Moura ↓, Lara Y. ↑,
- 64', Tapia G. ↓, Lucas Moura ↑,
- 64', Soares C. ↓, Maik ↑,
- 70', Andre Luis ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
- 73', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
- 78', Shaylon ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 82', Maik 🟥,
- 85', Luciano ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Jose Aldo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
36.1% | Draw
28.9% | São Paulo
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mirassol - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.58) |
3.19 ↓
(3.47) |
2.64 ↑
(2.53) |
8.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - São Paulo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Mirassol (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Diaz E.
(Hip Injury)
Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Oscar
(Heart Problems)
Rodriguinho
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Igor Carius
(Injury)
Reinaldo
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against São Paulo?
Mirassol has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Mirassol?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - São Paulo were as follows:
19.10.2025
Mirassol
-
São Paulo
3:0
24.05.2025
São Paulo
-
Mirassol
0:2
05.02.2025
São Paulo
-
Mirassol
4:1
23.01.2024
Mirassol
-
São Paulo
1:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bragantino | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Capivariano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Primavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Velo Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Noroeste | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Guarani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
