São Paulo vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Mirassol
Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.83
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
84% (397/473)84% (388/463)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.74
Total shots
137
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
84% (397/473)84% (388/463)
Long passes
54% (29/54)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
75% (93/124)65% (50/77)
Crosses
20% (5/25)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.14
Throw-ins
3019
Fouls
1911
Tackles
82% (14/17)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
2830
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.740.72
Goals prevented
-0.260.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 22', Pablo Maia 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Oscar , Rodriguinho ,
  • 50', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Gabriel ,
  • 58', Alisson 🟨,
  • 63', Edson Carioca , Cristian Renato ,
  • 66', Lucas Ferreira , Soares C. ,
  • 66', Pablo Maia , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 66', Luciano , Matheus Alves ,
  • 68', Andre Silva 🟨,
  • 69', Yago Felipe , Chico Kim ,
  • 70', Neto Moura , Roni ,
  • 77', Ferraresi N. , Ryan Francisco ,
  • 78', Gabriel , Ze Vitor ,
  • 79', Negueba , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Reinaldo (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


São Paulo
55.4%
Draw
26.8%
Mirassol
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 24.8% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 24.1% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • São Paulo - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.61)
    3.52
    (3.81)
    5.34
    (5.71)
    5.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
    • São Paulo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mirassol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo (Ankle Injury) Igor Vinicius (Back Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Marcos Antonio (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Alex Muralha (Leg Injury) David Braz (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Lucas Ramon (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury) Ze Vitor (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:9. (average 2.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Mirassol were as follows:
    05.02.2025 São Paulo - Mirassol 4:1
    23.01.2024 Mirassol - São Paulo 1:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Mirassol
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet