Mirassol vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
3:0
19/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 29
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 3
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.45
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
84% (295/350)89% (460/517)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.45
xG on target (xGOT)
3.271.05
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
84% (295/350)89% (460/517)
Long passes
53% (17/32)58% (19/33)
Passes in final third
70% (44/63)79% (114/144)
Crosses
40% (4/10)13% (4/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.77
Throw-ins
1230
Fouls
1117
Tackles
79% (11/14)50% (4/8)
Duels won
3830
Clearances
3812
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.053.27
Goals prevented
1.050.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Alesson ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
  • 33', Diaz E. 🟨,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Reinaldo (Pen),
  • 40', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
  • 45', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 69', 3 - 0, Carlos Eduardo (Pen),
  • 73', Lucas Moura ↓, Rigoni E. ↑,
  • 73', Tapia G. ↓, Luciano ↑,
  • 73', Cristian Renato ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
  • 77', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
  • 77', Guilherme ↓, Shaylon ↑,
  • 81', Maik ↓, Mailton ↑,
  • 81', Marcos Antonio ↓, Alisson ↑,
  • 83', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
  • 87', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 89', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
  • 89', Alesson ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
  • 90+2', Yago Felipe 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
41.6%		Draw
30.6%		São Paulo
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 30.3% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 29.6% 28.2%

Mirassol - São Paulo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.31 ↑
(2.3)		 3.21 ↑
(3.1)		 3.63 ↑
(3.25)		 1.9%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mirassol - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 32.6% – 78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
    • Recent performances by Mirassol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • São Paulo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mirassol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Alex Muralha (Yellow Cards) Chico (Inactive) Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury) Lucas Ramon (Inactive) Negueba (Yellow Cards) PH (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Diaz E. (Hip Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Luan Silva (Muscle Injury) Oscar (Calf Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Soares C. (Toe Injury) Toloi R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Gabriel (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Wendell (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - São Paulo were as follows:
    24.05.2025 São Paulo - Mirassol 0:2
    05.02.2025 São Paulo - Mirassol 4:1
    23.01.2024 Mirassol - São Paulo 1:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    15.10.2025 Mirassol - Internacional RS 3:1 ✺
    08.10.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense 2:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 3:0 ✺
    01.10.2025 Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of São Paulo
    16.10.2025 Grêmio - São Paulo 2:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 São Paulo - Palmeiras 2:3 ✺
    02.10.2025 Fortaleza - São Paulo 0:2 ✺
    29.09.2025 São Paulo - Ceará 0:1 ✺
    25.09.2025 São Paulo - LDU Quito 0:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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