Mladá Boleslav vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Mladá Boleslav - Lugano
Result
0:1
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.19
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1313
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
35
Free Kicks
1014
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
13
Throw-ins
1714
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Fouls
1410
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
390655
Completed Passes
303572
Crosses Completed
51
Interceptions
2214

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Steffen R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Sakala B. , Stransky V. ,
  • 74', Aliseda I. , Bottani M. ,
  • 75', Mahou H. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 78', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 81', Vydra P. (Pen),
  • 84', Fulnek J. , Marecek D. ,
  • 84', Grgic A. , Belhadj M. ,
  • 88', Ladra T. , Vojta M. ,
  • 90+1', Steffen R. , Mai L. ,
  • 90+1', Bislimi U. , Dos Santos D. ,
  • 90+8', Bottani M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mladá Boleslav
26.5%
Draw
26.9%
Lugano
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 29.1% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 30.2% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mladá Boleslav's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mladá Boleslav - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.8)
    3.52
    (3.25)
    2.04
    (2.55)
    5.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Lugano will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6%78%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kozel D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Vladi S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Belhadj M. (Injury) Valenzuela M. (Injury) Zanotti M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
    Latest results of Lugano
    20.10.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 2:0
    06.10.2024 Zürich - Lugano 1:1
    03.10.2024 Lugano - HJK 3:0
    29.09.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1
    22.09.2024 Sion - Lugano 0:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)