Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 35
- Referee: Janjus P. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (308/375) | 84% (333/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (308/375) | 84% (333/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 63% (34/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (94/132) | 74% (96/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Djermanovic A. 🟨,
- 60', Krsmanovic O. ↓, Ciric J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Vlijter G. ⚽, Cvetkovic A. (A),
- 66', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 75', Vukicevic A. 🟨,
- 81', Vlijter G. ↓, Stojilkovic F. ↑,
- 81', Jovanovic L. ↓, Odada R. ↑,
- 87', Owusu S. ↓, Mituljikic N. ↑,
- 87', Gobeljic M. ↓, Avdic A. ↑,
- 88', Tumbasevic J. ↓, Zec D. ↑,
- 89', Cvetkovic A. ↓, Momcilovic M. ↑,
- 90', Odada R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
OFK Beograd
54.7% | Draw
25.2% | Mladost Lučani
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.75) |
3.68 ↑
(3.5) |
4.6 ↓
(5) |
7.9%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mladost Lučani (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mladost Lučani will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFK won 1.
- OFK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mladost Lučani has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- OFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, OFK is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, OFK won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Mladost Lučani?
OFK Beograd has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against OFK Beograd?
Mladost Lučani has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani were as follows:
24.11.2024
OFK Beograd
-
Mladost Lučani
0:0
20.07.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
OFK Beograd
1:2
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Sp. Subotica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | TSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Partizan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Mladost | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | IMT Novi Beograd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Napredak | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | OFK Beograd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Radnik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Javor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
