OFK Beograd vs Mladost Lučani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Serbian Superliga OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 35
  • Referee: Janjus P. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.87
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
82% (308/375)84% (333/396)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.24
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
136
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
134
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
3335
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (308/375)84% (333/396)
Long passes
42% (24/57)63% (34/54)
Passes in final third
71% (94/132)74% (96/129)
Crosses
33% (4/12)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.621.29
Throw-ins
1114
Fouls
1511
Tackles
83% (15/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.240.57
Goals prevented
0.24-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Djermanovic A. 🟨,
  • 60', Krsmanovic O. , Ciric J. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Vlijter G. , Cvetkovic A. (A),
  • 66', Ljubomirac U. , Ortiz D. ,
  • 75', Vukicevic A. 🟨,
  • 81', Vlijter G. , Stojilkovic F. ,
  • 81', Jovanovic L. , Odada R. ,
  • 87', Owusu S. , Mituljikic N. ,
  • 87', Gobeljic M. , Avdic A. ,
  • 88', Tumbasevic J. , Zec D. ,
  • 89', Cvetkovic A. , Momcilovic M. ,
  • 90', Odada R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


OFK Beograd
54.7%
Draw
25.2%
Mladost Lučani
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26.6% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.75)
    3.68
    (3.5)
    4.6
    (5)
    7.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mladost Lučani (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mladost Lučani will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFK won 1.
    • OFK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mladost Lučani has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • OFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, OFK is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, OFK won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, OFK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani were as follows:
    24.11.2024 OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani 0:0
    20.07.2024 Mladost Lučani - OFK Beograd 1:2
    Latest results of OFK Beograd
    Latest results of Mladost Lučani
    Serbian Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crvena zvezda11004:043
    2Sp. Subotica11003:123
    3Vojvodina11002:023
    4TSC11002:113
    5Cukaricki11001:013
    6Partizan11001:013
    7Mladost10101:101
    8IMT Novi Beograd10101:101
    9Novi Pazar00000:000
    10Radnicki 192300000:000
    11Radnicki Nis10011:2-10
    12Napredak10010:1-10
    13Zeleznicar Pancevo10010:1-10
    14OFK Beograd10011:3-20
    15Radnik10010:2-20
    16Javor10010:4-40

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