Modena vs Avellino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 2
  • Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.17
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (332/401)68% (147/217)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.38
Total shots
223
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
80
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
83% (332/401)68% (147/217)
Long passes
59% (35/59)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
74% (115/156)46% (28/61)
Crosses
36% (15/42)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.49
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1415
Tackles
70% (7/10)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5754
Clearances
1954
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.381.03
Goals prevented
-0.620.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Cagnano A. 🟨,
  • 42', Defrel G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Sounas D. ,
  • 59', Beyuku G. , Zanimacchia L. ,
  • 62', Besaggio M. , Kumi J. ,
  • 62', Insigne R. , Russo R. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Defrel G. ,
  • 70', Patierno C. 🟨,
  • 71', Defrel G. , Mendes P. ,
  • 71', Gerli F. , Sersanti A. ,
  • 72', Patierno C. , Fontanarosa A. ,
  • 74', Cagnano A. 🟨,
  • 78', Pyyhtia N. , Magnino L. ,
  • 78', Zampano F. , Di Mariano F. ,
  • 79', Palumbo M. , Milani A. ,
  • 79', Lescano F. , Crespi V. ,
  • 90', Sounas D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Magnino L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manzi C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc36vfsr

Chances of winning


Modena
43.4%
Draw
31.3%
Avellino
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27.3% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.
  • Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Modena - Avellino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.85)
    3.02
    (3.43)
    3.76
    (4.25)
    5.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Modena - Avellino?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 50.9%95.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Avellino (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
    • Modena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Avellino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Modena could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Modena: Caso G. (Inactive) Dellavalle A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Avellino: De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Inactive) Palmiero L. (Inactive) Patierno C. (Inactive) Rigione M. (Inactive) Tutino G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Modena
    25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2
    18.08.2025 Torino - Modena 1:0
    10.08.2025 Modena - Forlì 2:1
    30.07.2025 Modena - Pistoiese 4:1
    Latest results of Avellino
    24.08.2025 Frosinone - Avellino 2:0
    03.08.2025 Avellino - Picerno 3:1
    26.07.2025 Avellino - Lazio 0:1
    10.05.2025 Virtus Entella - Avellino 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia31207463:263767
    2Monza31197549:252464
    3Frosinone311711359:312862
    4Palermo311610551:272458
    5Catanzaro301410648:351352
    6Modena30138940:241647
    7Juve Stabia31915735:37-242
    8Cesena311171338:46-840
    9Avellino311091236:49-1339
    10Sudtirol31814933:32138
    11Carrarese318121138:42-436
    12Padova318101332:42-1034
    13Mantova31971535:46-1134
    14Empoli317121239:45-633
    15Sampdoria317101429:42-1331
    16Bari317101430:47-1731
    17Entella317101428:45-1731
    18Spezia31791530:43-1330
    19Reggiana31791530:46-1630
    20Pescara316111441:54-1329

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation