Modena vs Avellino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Modena - Avellino
Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 2
  • Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.17
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (332/401)68% (147/217)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.38
Total shots
223
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
80
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
83% (332/401)68% (147/217)
Long passes
59% (35/59)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
74% (115/156)46% (28/61)
Crosses
36% (15/42)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.49
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1415
Tackles
70% (7/10)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5754
Clearances
1954
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.381.03
Goals prevented
-0.620.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Cagnano A. 🟨,
  • 42', Defrel G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Sounas D. ,
  • 59', Beyuku G. , Zanimacchia L. ,
  • 62', Besaggio M. , Kumi J. ,
  • 62', Insigne R. , Russo R. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Defrel G. ,
  • 70', Patierno C. 🟨,
  • 71', Defrel G. , Mendes P. ,
  • 71', Gerli F. , Sersanti A. ,
  • 72', Patierno C. , Fontanarosa A. ,
  • 74', Cagnano A. 🟨,
  • 78', Pyyhtia N. , Magnino L. ,
  • 78', Zampano F. , Di Mariano F. ,
  • 79', Palumbo M. , Milani A. ,
  • 79', Lescano F. , Crespi V. ,
  • 90', Sounas D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Magnino L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manzi C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc36vfsr

Chances of winning


Modena
43.4%
Draw
31.3%
Avellino
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27.3% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.
  • Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Modena - Avellino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.85)
    3.02
    (3.43)
    3.76
    (4.25)
    5.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Modena - Avellino?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
    • Modena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Avellino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Modena could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Modena: Caso G. (Inactive) Dellavalle A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Avellino: De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Inactive) Palmiero L. (Inactive) Patierno C. (Inactive) Rigione M. (Inactive) Tutino G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Modena
    25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2
    18.08.2025 Torino - Modena 1:0
    10.08.2025 Modena - Forlì 2:1
    30.07.2025 Modena - Pistoiese 4:1
    Latest results of Avellino
    24.08.2025 Frosinone - Avellino 2:0
    03.08.2025 Avellino - Picerno 3:1
    26.07.2025 Avellino - Lazio 0:1
    10.05.2025 Virtus Entella - Avellino 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cesena21104:224
    2Sudtirol21104:224
    3Modena21103:124
    4Frosinone21102:024
    5Carrarese21102:024
    6Monza21102:114
    7Venezia21102:114
    8Palermo21102:114
    9Reggiana21014:313
    10Empoli21014:403
    11Mantova21012:203
    12Entella20202:202
    13Juve Stabia20201:102
    14Catanzaro20201:102
    15Bari20112:3-11
    16Avellino20111:3-21
    17Padova20111:3-21
    18Spezia20110:2-21
    19Pescara20022:5-30
    20Sampdoria20021:5-40

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