Modena vs Avellino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 2
  • Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.17
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (332/401)68% (147/217)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.38
Total shots
223
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
80
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
83% (332/401)68% (147/217)
Long passes
59% (35/59)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
74% (115/156)46% (28/61)
Crosses
36% (15/42)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.49
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1415
Tackles
70% (7/10)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5754
Clearances
1954
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.381.03
Goals prevented
-0.620.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Cagnano A. 🟨,
  • 42', Defrel G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Sounas D. ,
  • 59', Beyuku G. , Zanimacchia L. ,
  • 62', Besaggio M. , Kumi J. ,
  • 62', Insigne R. , Russo R. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Defrel G. ,
  • 70', Patierno C. 🟨,
  • 71', Defrel G. , Mendes P. ,
  • 71', Gerli F. , Sersanti A. ,
  • 72', Patierno C. , Fontanarosa A. ,
  • 74', Cagnano A. 🟨,
  • 78', Pyyhtia N. , Magnino L. ,
  • 78', Zampano F. , Di Mariano F. ,
  • 79', Palumbo M. , Milani A. ,
  • 79', Lescano F. , Crespi V. ,
  • 90', Sounas D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Magnino L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Manzi C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc36vfsr

Chances of winning


Modena
43.4%
Draw
31.3%
Avellino
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27.3% 22%

Modena - Avellino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.19
(1.85)
3.02
(3.43)
3.76
(4.25)
5.3%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Avellino?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 50.9%95.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Avellino (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
    • Modena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Avellino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Modena could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Modena: Caso G. (Inactive) Dellavalle A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Avellino: De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Inactive) Palmiero L. (Inactive) Patierno C. (Inactive) Rigione M. (Inactive) Tutino G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Modena
    25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2
    18.08.2025 Torino - Modena 1:0
    10.08.2025 Modena - Forlì 2:1
    30.07.2025 Modena - Pistoiese 4:1
    Latest results of Avellino
    24.08.2025 Frosinone - Avellino 2:0
    03.08.2025 Avellino - Picerno 3:1
    26.07.2025 Avellino - Lazio 0:1
    10.05.2025 Virtus Entella - Avellino 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia22145344:192547
    2Frosinone22137240:192146
    3Monza22135434:181644
    4Palermo22118333:141941
    5Modena2297628:171134
    6Cesena22104829:27234
    7Juve Stabia22810424:23134
    8Catanzaro2288628:26232
    9Carrarese2278731:32-129
    10Sudtirol22610624:23128
    11Empoli2277826:28-228
    12Avellino2277827:35-828
    13Padova2267921:27-625
    14Sampdoria22571021:28-722
    15Reggiana22561125:32-721
    16Entella2249919:29-1021
    17Spezia22551219:29-1020
    18Mantova22551222:36-1420
    19Bari22481018:34-1620
    20Pescara22291127:44-1715

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation