Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/502) | 79% (277/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/502) | 79% (277/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (112/150) | 68% (50/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', Sala M. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Russo R. ⚽, Izzo A. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Cancellotti T. ⚽, Palumbo M. (A),
- 43', Parodi L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Palmiero L. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
- 55', Karic N. ↓, Franzoni A. ↑,
- 55', Parodi L. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
- 58', Besaggio M. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
- 58', Tutino G. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
- 67', Bariti D. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 67', Debenedetti A. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
- 71', Russo R. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 79', Benedetti L. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
- 79', Sala M. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Del Lungo T. (A),
Chances of winning
Virtus Entella
38.1% | Draw
32.9% | Avellino
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Virtus Entella - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.21) |
2.87 ↓
(2.9) |
3.17 ↓
(3.67) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Virtus Entella (2.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Virtus Entella could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Marconi I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L.
(Inactive)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pandolfi L.
(Inactive)
Patierno C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Avellino?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Virtus Entella?
Avellino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Avellino were as follows:
27.09.2025
Avellino
-
Virtus Entella
2:0
10.05.2025
Virtus Entella
-
Avellino
1:1
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
