Modena vs Sampdoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

Serie B - Round 23
Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.37	0.45
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
4	1
Passes
80% (350/438)	80% (302/377)
Yellow cards
1	5
Expected goals (xG)
1.37	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.32	0.99
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
13	3
Shots outside the box
6	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
32	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
18	21
Passes
80% (350/438)	80% (302/377)
Long passes
52% (30/58)	45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
63% (102/161)	73% (64/88)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.57	0.84
Throw ins
21	14
Fouls
21	18
Tackles
63% (5/8)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
48	69
Clearances
14	39
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.99	2.32
Goals prevented
-1.01	1.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Brunori M. ⚽, Viti M. (A),
58', Zampano F. 🟨,
59', Cherubini L. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
59', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
63', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
63', Mendes P. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
63', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
64', Conti F. 🟨,
67', Conti F. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
70', Martinelli T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. ⚽, Nieling B. (A),
79', Massolin Y. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
79', Santoro S. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
80', Pierini N. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
80', Viti M. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
86', Riccio A. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Begic T. ⚽, Ricci M. (A),
90+1', Begic T. 🟨,
90+4', Soleri E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Modena
54%

Draw
29.3%

Sampdoria
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

32.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

33.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Modena - Sampdoria Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.91)	3.22 ↑ (2.91)	5.53 ↑ (4.89)	6% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Modena - Sampdoria?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 26.9% – 73.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Modena is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Modena: Nador S. (Red Card)
There will not play in Sampdoria: Barak A. (Inactive) Depaoli F. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Ferri J. (Inactive) Henderson L. (Yellow Cards) Palma M. (Red Card) Venuti L. (Injury) Viti M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Modena: Sersanti A. (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Sampdoria?

Modena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Modena?

Sampdoria has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Sampdoria were as follows:

25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2

08.02.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 1:0

29.09.2024 Modena - Sampdoria 1:3

03.02.2024 Sampdoria - Modena 2:2

11.11.2023 Modena - Sampdoria 0:2

Latest results of Modena

31.01.2026 Empoli - Modena 0:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Modena - Palermo 0:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Pescara - Modena 0:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Padova - Modena 2:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Modena - Monza 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Sampdoria

31.01.2026 Sampdoria - Spezia 1:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Catanzaro - Sampdoria 0:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Sampdoria - Virtus Entella 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Avellino - Sampdoria 2:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Sampdoria - Reggiana 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	33	19	11	3	64:32	32	68
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	33	18	10	5	54:27	27	64
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation