Juventude de Évora vs Moncarapachense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
55
Total shots
115
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
70
Corner Kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Juventude de Évora
42.9%
Draw
32.3%
Moncarapachense
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 29.3% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28.2% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude de Évora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.93)
    2.8
    (3.1)
    3.64
    (3.84)
    10.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Juventude de Évora is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Moncarapachense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Juventude de Évora could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude de Évora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventude de Évora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense were as follows:
    07.04.2024 Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense 2:0
    17.12.2023 Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora 0:2
    Latest results of Juventude de Évora
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira1997325:16934
    2Juv. Evora1996423:17633
    3Louletano1988320:91132
    4Serpa1986523:23030
    5GD Alcochetense1985625:17829
    6Lagoa1985634:25929
    7Alverca B1884632:27528
    8Sintrense1976620:20027
    9Oriental1968523:25-226
    10O Elvas CAD1974825:23225
    11Moncarapachense1939714:19-518
    12Portimonense B18521116:27-1117
    13Vasco da Gama19110816:35-1913
    14Industria19261116:29-1312

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation