Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Juventude de Évora 42.9% | Draw 32.3% | Moncarapachense 24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude de Évora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↑ (1.93) |
2.8 ↓ (3.1) |
3.64 ↓ (3.84) |
10.7% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Juventude de Évora is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Moncarapachense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juventude de Évora could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude de Évora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude de Évora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude de Évora won against Moncarapachense?
Juventude de Évora has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Juventude de Évora?
Moncarapachense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense were as follows:
07.04.2024
Juventude de Évora
-
Moncarapachense
2:0
17.12.2023
Moncarapachense
-
Juventude de Évora
0:2
Latest results of Juventude de Évora
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Louletano | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Serpa | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | GD Alcochetense | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 29 |
| 10 | Oriental | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 17:43 | -26 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to