Moncarapachense vs Louletano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Moncarapachense - Louletano
Result
1:0
19/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Tavinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
37.2%
Draw
30.9%
Louletano
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 26.8% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 25.4% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.
  • Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louletano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louletano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moncarapachense - Louletano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.85)
    2.92
    (3.37)
    2.84
    (3.74)
    10.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Louletano were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Moncarapachense - Louletano 2:1
    27.08.2024 Louletano - Moncarapachense 1:0
    28.01.2024 Louletano - Moncarapachense 0:1
    17.09.2023 Moncarapachense - Louletano 2:1
    Latest results of Louletano
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1