Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Chances of winning
Serpa
42.6% | Draw
31.9% | Moncarapachense
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Serpa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Serpa - Moncarapachense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.14) |
2.83 ↓
(2.83) |
3.55 ↓
(3.59) |
10.5%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 2.
- Recent performances by Serpa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Moncarapachense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Serpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Serpa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serpa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Moncarapachense?
Serpa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Serpa?
Moncarapachense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serpa - Moncarapachense were as follows:
14.09.2025
Moncarapachense
-
Serpa
1:1
02.03.2025
Moncarapachense
-
Serpa
0:0
03.11.2024
Serpa
-
Moncarapachense
2:0
18.02.2024
Serpa
-
Moncarapachense
2:1
28.10.2023
Moncarapachense
-
Serpa
1:1
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 37 |
| 2 | Louletano | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 34 |
| 4 | Serpa | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 28 |
| 10 | Oriental | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 16:36 | -20 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
