Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 11
- Referee: Davidov G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Tonev D. ⚽,
- 12', Donchev A. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 2, Sidney C. ⚽, Tonev D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Todorov A. ↓, Ejike P. ↑,
- 46', Iliadis I. ↓, Berhane J. ↑,
- 54', Berhane J. 🟨,
- 56', Tonev D. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Kokonov I. ⚽,
- 58', Strinski K. 🟨,
- 67', Tonev D. ↓, Phellipe ↑,
- 68', Mihaylov M. 🟨,
- 73', Strinski K. ↓, Beji ↑,
- 74', Sidney C. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 3, Lazarov G. ⚽,
- 80', Sidney C. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
- 81', Chandarov A. ↓, Milushev M. ↑,
- 83', Dimitrov B. ↓, Atanasov P. ↑,
- 83', Tungarov A. ↓, Burov D. ↑,
- 89', Joao Pedro ↓, Calcan A. ↑,
- 89', Lazarov G. ↓, Stefanov R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Montana
12.4% | Draw
19.6% | Cherno More Varna
68% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montana's form might have worsened.Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cherno More Varna's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherno More Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Montana - Cherno More Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.16 ↑
(4.18) |
5.78 ↑
(3.28) |
1.57 ↓
(1.86) |
-8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Montana - Cherno More Varna?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Cherno More will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cherno More: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cherno More Varna will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cherno More is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montana won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Montana won against Cherno More Varna?
Montana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against Montana?
Cherno More Varna has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montana - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
Latest results of Montana
Latest results of Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 52:14 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 8 | Arda | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 27 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:29 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Beroe | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:44 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Montana | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
