Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 26
- Referee: Guteva H. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zlatev N. ↓, Lazarov G. ↑,
- 58', Panov T. 🟨,
- 62', Padilla J. ↓, Calcan A. ↑,
- 62', Panov T. ↓, Joao Bandaro ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Beyhan B. ⚽,
- 66', Sakor V. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
- 76', Todorov A. ↓, Kokonov I. ↑,
- 76', Burov D. ↓, Beji ↑,
- 84', Beyhan B. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
- 85', Ejike P. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
- 88', Sidney C. ↓, Donchev A. ↑,
- 89', Azevedo T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Teles D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cherno More Varna
67.2% | Draw
21.9% | Montana
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cherno More Varna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Cherno More Varna - Montana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.39) |
4.21 ↓
(4.3) |
8.38
(8.38) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna - Montana?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Cherno More (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 3.
- In recent matches, Cherno More has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montana is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Montana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cherno More is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against Montana?
Cherno More Varna has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montana won against Cherno More Varna?
Montana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cherno More Varna - Montana were as follows:
04.10.2025
Montana
-
Cherno More Varna
1:3
Latest results of Cherno More Varna
Latest results of Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 58:18 | 40 | 62 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Arda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 21:35 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 | Beroe ✔ | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 17:39 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 14:41 | -27 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
