Montañas del Pas vs Barquereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 22

Chances of winning


Montañas del Pas
32.4%
Draw
30%
Barquereño
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 27.8% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 27.4% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montañas del Pas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barquereño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañas del Pas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montañas del Pas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barquereño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montañas del Pas - Barquereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (3.31)
    3.03
    (3.29)
    2.41
    (2.06)
    10.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barquereño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Montañas del Pas
    Latest results of Barquereño
    01.03.2026 Castro - Barquereño 2:1
    25.02.2026 Barquereño - Tropezón 2:1
    08.02.2026 Barquereño - Escobedo 0:1
    31.01.2026 Vimenor - Barquereño 2:0
    18.01.2026 Cartes - Barquereño 3:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega24192361:95259
    2Tropezon24153637:191848
    3Laredo24145540:192147
    4Escobedo24151846:291746
    5Vimenor24144634:221246
    6Atletico Albericia24142844:271744
    7Guarnizo24126631:211042
    8Cayon24125737:28941
    9Torina24115829:30-138
    10Castro24951035:33232
    11Bezana24951023:28-532
    12CD Barquereno23731326:39-1324
    13Revilla24651328:46-1823
    14UC Cartes24571217:37-2022
    15Noja24451516:40-2417
    16Montanas23441525:64-3916
    17Selaya24351614:32-1814
    18CD Colindres24281414:34-2014

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