Montañas del Pas vs Barquereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 22

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Merino O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 88', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Montañas del Pas
43.4%
Draw
32.7%
Barquereño
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 27.8% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 27.4% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montañas del Pas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montañas del Pas's performance.
  • Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barquereño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañas del Pas than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montañas del Pas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (+21.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barquereño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montañas del Pas - Barquereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (3.31)
    3.33
    (3.29)
    4.56
    (2.06)
    -8.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barquereño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Montañas del Pas
    Latest results of Barquereño
    01.03.2026 Castro - Barquereño 2:1
    25.02.2026 Barquereño - Tropezón 2:1
    08.02.2026 Barquereño - Escobedo 0:1
    31.01.2026 Vimenor - Barquereño 2:0
    18.01.2026 Cartes - Barquereño 3:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega27213365:105566
    2Laredo27175549:202956
    3Tropezon27163840:231751
    4Vimenor27156638:241451
    5Atletico Albericia27154849:301949
    6Escobedo271611049:341549
    7Guarnizo27147634:221249
    8Cayon27145840:301047
    9Torina27136832:30245
    10Bezana271061129:31-236
    11Castro27971138:37134
    12CD Barquereno27841531:46-1528
    13UC Cartes27681322:40-1826
    14Revilla27651630:55-2523
    15CD Colindres27391518:37-1918
    16Selaya27461717:35-1818
    17Montanas27461727:73-4618
    18Noja27451816:47-3117

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation