Montañas del Pas vs Castro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Montañas del Pas
13.6%
Draw
22.3%
Castro
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 24.7% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 23.7% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montañas del Pas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañas del Pas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montañas del Pas - Castro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.67
    (4.87)
    4.07
    (3.67)
    1.42
    (1.6)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Castro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Montañas del Pas
    Latest results of Castro
    17.01.2026 Vimenor - Castro 3:1
    11.01.2026 Tropezón - Castro 3:1
    04.01.2026 Castro - Cartes 4:1
    14.12.2025 Castro - Revilla 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega33255381:146780
    2Laredo32207560:263467
    3Guarnizo33198646:252165
    4Tropezon33204948:272164
    5Escobedo332021158:401862
    6Vimenor33178846:331359
    7Atletico Albericia331751159:411856
    8Cayon331651247:40753
    9Torina331481137:40-350
    10Bezana331371342:37546
    11Castro331081544:45-138
    12Revilla32861834:60-2630
    13CD Barquereno32851935:58-2329
    14Selaya32771827:41-1428
    15CD Colindres336101726:45-1928
    16UC Cartes33691826:50-2427
    17Montanas33681932:80-4826
    18Noja33462320:66-4618

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