Montañas del Pas vs Barquereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 22

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Merino O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 88', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Montañas del Pas
43.4%
Draw
32.7%
Barquereño
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 27.8% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 27.4% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montañas del Pas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montañas del Pas's performance.
  • Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barquereño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañas del Pas than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montañas del Pas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (+21.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barquereño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montañas del Pas - Barquereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (3.31)
    3.33
    (3.29)
    4.56
    (2.06)
    -8.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barquereño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Montañas del Pas
    Latest results of Barquereño
    01.03.2026 Castro - Barquereño 2:1
    25.02.2026 Barquereño - Tropezón 2:1
    08.02.2026 Barquereño - Escobedo 0:1
    31.01.2026 Vimenor - Barquereño 2:0
    18.01.2026 Cartes - Barquereño 3:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega33255381:146780
    2Laredo32207560:263467
    3Guarnizo33198646:252165
    4Tropezon33204948:272164
    5Escobedo332021158:401862
    6Vimenor33178846:331359
    7Atletico Albericia331751159:411856
    8Cayon331651247:40753
    9Torina331481137:40-350
    10Bezana331371342:37546
    11Castro331081544:45-138
    12Revilla32861834:60-2630
    13CD Barquereno32851935:58-2329
    14Selaya32771827:41-1428
    15CD Colindres336101726:45-1928
    16UC Cartes33691826:50-2427
    17Montanas33681932:80-4826
    18Noja33462320:66-4618

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation