Montañas del Pas vs Castro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Montañas del Pas
13.6%
Draw
22.3%
Castro
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 24.7% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 23.7% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montañas del Pas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañas del Pas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montañas del Pas - Castro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.67
    (4.87)
    4.07
    (3.67)
    1.42
    (1.6)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Castro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Montañas del Pas
    Latest results of Castro
    17.01.2026 Vimenor - Castro 3:1
    11.01.2026 Tropezón - Castro 3:1
    04.01.2026 Castro - Cartes 4:1
    14.12.2025 Castro - Revilla 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega26203363:105363
    2Laredo26165547:192853
    3Tropezon26163740:211951
    4Escobedo26161949:331649
    5Atletico Albericia26153848:291948
    6Vimenor26146635:231248
    7Guarnizo26137633:221146
    8Cayon26135838:30844
    9Torina26126830:30042
    10Bezana271061129:31-236
    11Castro26971037:35234
    12CD Barquereno26841431:44-1328
    13UC Cartes26671321:39-1825
    14Revilla26651529:52-2323
    15Selaya26461617:33-1618
    16Montanas26461627:71-4418
    17Noja27451816:47-3117
    18CD Colindres26291516:37-2115

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