Vimenor vs Castro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
17/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Campos Sanchez J. C. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Campos Sanchez J. C. ,
  • 24', 3 - 0, Vega Saenz E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Vimenor
47.7%
Draw
28.2%
Castro
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 26.4% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 24.9% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vimenor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vimenor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Vimenor - Castro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.97)
    3.25
    (3.45)
    3.8
    (3.35)
    9.2%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vimenor - Castro?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Castro (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vimenor won 2.
    • Recent performances by Vimenor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vimenor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vimenor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vimenor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vimenor - Castro were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Castro - Vimenor 2:2
    01.02.2025 Vimenor - Castro 2:1
    22.09.2024 Castro - Vimenor 1:1
    04.02.2024 Castro - Vimenor 2:0
    17.09.2023 Vimenor - Castro 1:0
    Latest results of Vimenor
    10.01.2026 Vimenor - Cayón 0:1
    21.12.2025 Vimenor - Escobedo 1:0
    07.12.2025 Tropezón - Vimenor 5:0
    Latest results of Castro
    11.01.2026 Tropezón - Castro 3:1
    04.01.2026 Castro - Cartes 4:1
    14.12.2025 Castro - Revilla 1:1
    06.12.2025 Guarnizo - Castro 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega33255381:146780
    2Laredo32207560:263467
    3Guarnizo33198646:252165
    4Tropezon33204948:272164
    5Escobedo332021158:401862
    6Vimenor33178846:331359
    7Atletico Albericia331751159:411856
    8Cayon331651247:40753
    9Torina331481137:40-350
    10Bezana331371342:37546
    11Castro331081544:45-138
    12Revilla32861834:60-2630
    13CD Barquereno32851935:58-2329
    14Selaya32771827:41-1428
    15CD Colindres336101726:45-1928
    16UC Cartes33691826:50-2427
    17Montanas33681932:80-4826
    18Noja33462320:66-4618

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