Result
17:53
20/12/2025 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (17 - 12)
- 4', Rey L. (Try),
- 18', Wilkins K. (Try),
- 19', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Fortunel T. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Maximin J. (Try),
- 33', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Vici J. (Try),
- 35', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 41)
- 44', Arfeuil G. (Try),
- 54', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 56', Arfeuil G. (Try),
- 56', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Delhommel Y. (Try),
- 68', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Decron N. (Try),
- 75', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 80', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 80+1', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Montauban
28.8% | Draw
3.7% | Section Paloise
67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Montauban - Section Paloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(3.7) |
25.85 ↑
(21.25) |
1.37 ↑
(1.34) |
7.8%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Montauban is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Section Paloise has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Section Paloise is the team to beat.
- We predict that Section Paloise will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montauban won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:55. (average 13.5:27.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Montauban won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:24.
How many head-to-head matches has Montauban won against Section Paloise?
Montauban has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Montauban?
Section Paloise has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montauban - Section Paloise were as follows:
Latest results of Montauban
Latest results of Section Paloise
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 750:409 | 67 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 581:407 | 57 |
| 3 | Section Paloise | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 564:497 | 55 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 635:503 | 55 |
| 5 | Stade Francais Paris | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 559:475 | 54 |
| 6 | Clermont | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 613:487 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 566:579 | 50 |
| 8 | Stade Rochelais | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 571:493 | 45 |
| 9 | RC Toulonnais | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 492:582 | 45 |
| 10 | Lyon | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 553:530 | 43 |
| 11 | Castres Olympique | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 452:553 | 42 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 527:621 | 41 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 19 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 372:543 | 19 |
| 14 | Montauban | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 364:920 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
