Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/428) | 85% (292/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/428) | 85% (292/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (49/74) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (65/100) | 59% (46/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Rebollar A. ⚽, Klein J. (A),
- 22', Guzman C. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Sorto C. ⚽,
- 28', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 35', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 43', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 45+3', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Gnaulati X. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Sorto C. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 66', Fonguck W. ↓, Paul I. ↑,
- 66', Rebollar A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 66', Gordon N. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
- 67', Guediri S. 🟨,
- 73', Sorto C. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 84', Gabriel Torres ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
- 84', Moreno A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 84', Ortiz A. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
- 86', Ivanovic L. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive 59% | Draw 23.1% | Monterey Bay 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (1.59) |
3.99 ↑ (3.98) |
5.18 ↑ (4.91) |
8.3% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
- El Paso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Monterey Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, El Paso is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Monterey Bay?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay were as follows:
21.06.2025
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:2
24.08.2024
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
13.03.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Monterey Bay
1:1
02.09.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Monterey Bay
1:2
08.07.2023
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )