El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay
Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.80
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (369/428)85% (292/344)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.63
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
178
Passes
86% (369/428)85% (292/344)
Long passes
66% (49/74)55% (24/44)
Passes in final third
65% (65/100)59% (46/78)
Crosses
43% (6/14)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.66
Throw-ins
3111
Fouls
917
Tackles
75% (6/8)74% (17/23)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
1014
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.630.60
Goals prevented
-0.37-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Rebollar A. , Klein J. (A),
  • 22', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Sorto C. ,
  • 28', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 35', Ortiz A. 🟨,
  • 43', Quezada A. , Diaz M. ,
  • 45+3', Rebollar A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Gnaulati X. , Sojberg A. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Sorto C. , Diaz M. (A),
  • 66', Fonguck W. , Paul I. ,
  • 66', Rebollar A. , Malango M. ,
  • 66', Gordon N. , Lara A. ,
  • 67', Guediri S. 🟨,
  • 73', Sorto C. , Coronado R. ,
  • 84', Gabriel Torres , Tony Alfaro ,
  • 84', Moreno A. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 84', Ortiz A. , Ackwei W. ,
  • 86', Ivanovic L. , Bryant E. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
59%
Draw
23.1%
Monterey Bay
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.2% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.1% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.59)
    3.99
    (3.98)
    5.18
    (4.91)
    8.3%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
    • El Paso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Monterey Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, El Paso is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 1:2
    24.08.2024 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    13.03.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay 1:1
    02.09.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay 1:2
    08.07.2023 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )