Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/428) | 85% (292/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/428) | 85% (292/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (49/74) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (65/100) | 59% (46/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Rebollar A. ⚽, Klein J. (A),
- 22', Guzman C. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Sorto C. ⚽,
- 28', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 35', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 43', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 45+3', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Gnaulati X. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Sorto C. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 66', Fonguck W. ↓, Paul I. ↑,
- 66', Rebollar A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 66', Gordon N. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
- 67', Guediri S. 🟨,
- 73', Sorto C. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 84', Gabriel Torres ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
- 84', Moreno A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 84', Ortiz A. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
- 86', Ivanovic L. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
59% | Draw
23.1% | Monterey Bay
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.59) |
3.99 ↑
(3.98) |
5.18 ↑
(4.91) |
8.3%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
- El Paso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Monterey Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, El Paso is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Monterey Bay?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay were as follows:
21.06.2025
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:2
24.08.2024
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
13.03.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Monterey Bay
1:1
02.09.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Monterey Bay
1:2
08.07.2023
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
