Result
1:2
21/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (261/315) | 83% (318/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (261/315) | 83% (318/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 43% (22/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (79/106) | 75% (53/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/21) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 79% (23/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Ackwei W. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
- 16', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ortiz A. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 2, Cabrera A. (Pen),
- 60', 1 - 2, Paul I. ⚽,
- 63', Gnaulati X. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
- 63', Ivanovic L. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 69', Avila R. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 84', Quezada A. 🟨,
- 85', Sojberg A. ↓, Fehr M. ↑,
- 85', Moreno A. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 86', Daroma F. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
- 86', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 88', Mora-Mora S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
33.1% | Draw
27.2% | El Paso Locomotive
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Paso Locomotive's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.31) |
3.41 ↓
(3.5) |
2.34 ↓
(2.7) |
7.7%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive?
Users Predictions:
El Paso Locomotive will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Monterey Bay?
El Paso Locomotive has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
24.08.2024
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
13.03.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Monterey Bay
1:1
02.09.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Monterey Bay
1:2
08.07.2023
Monterey Bay
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
