Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay
Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Long passes
52% (27/52)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
71% (107/151)74% (92/125)
Crosses
32% (6/19)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.40
Throw-ins
2712
Fouls
1314
Tackles
75% (9/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4841
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.202.28
Goals prevented
0.20-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Quinn A. , Blake J. (A),
  • 45+6', Campuzano N. , Gomez S. ,
  • 45+11', 2 - 0, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Fehr M. , Gnaulati X. ,
  • 56', Guediri S. , Robinson G. ,
  • 60', Muir J. 🟨,
  • 65', Paul I. , Malango M. ,
  • 65', Sojberg A. , Larsson A. ,
  • 69', Foster M. , Bryneus O. ,
  • 69', Rendon B. , Hogan P. ,
  • 80', Blake J. , Williams R. ,
  • 80', Amoh E. , Kizza E. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Williams R. , Bryneus O. (A),
  • 87', O'Brien J. , Collier E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
55.7%
Draw
24.3%
Monterey Bay
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 24.5% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.7)
    3.78
    (3.8)
    4.59
    (4.5)
    8.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Indy is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 0:1
    22.04.2023 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 2:3
    17.09.2022 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 5:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )