Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (151/249) | 79% (344/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (151/249) | 79% (344/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (29/75) | 46% (42/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (53/106) | 68% (87/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Rendon B. ⚽, Lindley C. (A),
- 25', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 32', Okello N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lomtadze G. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Lletget S. ⚽, Glasgow O. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Blake J. ⚽,
- 60', Nakamura R. ↓, Belmar J. ↑,
- 60', Lletget S. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Mesanvi L. ⚽, Herbert A. (A),
- 69', Rendon B. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
- 73', Glasgow O. ↓, Rebollar A. ↑,
- 75', Quinn A. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
- 75', Okello N. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 75', Farnsworth Z. 🟨,
- 82', Blancas E. 🟨,
- 83', Barry H. 🟨,
- 87', Williams K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
49.1% | Draw
28.2% | Monterey Bay
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.99) |
3.28 ↑
(2.93) |
4.08 ↓
(4.16) |
8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Indy (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- Indy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Indy is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Monterey Bay?
Indy Eleven has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Indy Eleven?
Monterey Bay has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:
05.07.2025
Indy Eleven
-
Monterey Bay
3:0
04.05.2024
Monterey Bay
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
22.04.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Monterey Bay
2:3
17.09.2022
Monterey Bay
-
Indy Eleven
5:0
Latest results of Indy Eleven
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
