Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Long passes
52% (27/52)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
71% (107/151)74% (92/125)
Crosses
32% (6/19)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.40
Throw-ins
2712
Fouls
1314
Tackles
75% (9/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4841
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.202.28
Goals prevented
0.20-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Quinn A. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
  • 45+6', Campuzano N. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
  • 45+11', 2 - 0, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Fehr M. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
  • 56', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
  • 60', Muir J. 🟨,
  • 65', Paul I. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
  • 65', Sojberg A. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
  • 69', Foster M. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
  • 69', Rendon B. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
  • 80', Blake J. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
  • 80', Amoh E. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Williams R. ⚽, Bryneus O. (A),
  • 87', O'Brien J. ↓, Collier E. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
55.7%		Draw
24.3%		Monterey Bay
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 24.5% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.65 ↓
    (1.7)    		 3.78 ↓
    (3.8)    		 4.59 ↑
    (4.5)    		 8.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Monterey Bay (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 50%). Monterey Bay (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Indy is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 0:1
    22.04.2023 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 2:3
    17.09.2022 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 5:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1
    21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    14.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1 ✺
    28.05.2025 Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic 4:4
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    21.06.2025 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺
    14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0
    07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2
    28.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Spokane Velocity 1:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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