Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (209/279) | 84% (378/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (209/279) | 84% (378/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (107/151) | 74% (92/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Quinn A. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
- 45+6', Campuzano N. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
- 45+11', 2 - 0, Blake J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Fehr M. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
- 56', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
- 60', Muir J. 🟨,
- 65', Paul I. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 65', Sojberg A. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
- 69', Foster M. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
- 69', Rendon B. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
- 80', Blake J. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 80', Amoh E. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Williams R. ⚽, Bryneus O. (A),
- 87', O'Brien J. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
55.7% | Draw
24.3% | Monterey Bay
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.7) |
3.78 ↓
(3.8) |
4.59 ↑
(4.5) |
8.9%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Indy is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Monterey Bay?
Indy Eleven has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Indy Eleven?
Monterey Bay has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:
04.05.2024
Monterey Bay
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
22.04.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Monterey Bay
2:3
17.09.2022
Monterey Bay
-
Indy Eleven
5:0
Latest results of Indy Eleven
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
