Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN).

USL Championship
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.31
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
75% (209/279)	84% (378/449)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.28	0.20
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
28	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
75% (209/279)	84% (378/449)
Long passes
52% (27/52)	48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
71% (107/151)	74% (92/125)
Crosses
32% (6/19)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	0.40
Throw-ins
27	12
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
75% (9/12)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
48	41
Clearances
20	21
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.20	2.28
Goals prevented
0.20	-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Quinn A. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
45+6', Campuzano N. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
45+11', 2 - 0, Blake J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Fehr M. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
56', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
60', Muir J. 🟨,
65', Paul I. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
65', Sojberg A. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
69', Foster M. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
69', Rendon B. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
80', Blake J. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
80', Amoh E. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Williams R. ⚽, Bryneus O. (A),
87', O'Brien J. ↓, Collier E. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Indy Eleven
55.7%

Draw
24.3%

Monterey Bay
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	3.78 ↓ (3.8)	4.59 ↑ (4.5)	8.9% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Indy is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Monterey Bay?

Indy Eleven has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Indy Eleven?

Monterey Bay has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:

04.05.2024 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 0:1

22.04.2023 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 2:3

17.09.2022 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 5:0

Latest results of Indy Eleven

25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0 ✺

04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic 4:4 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

21.06.2025 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0 ✺

07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Spokane Velocity 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston ✔	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina ✔	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic ✔	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh ✔	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun ✔	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico ✔	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic ✔	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )