Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay
Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
75% (209/279)84% (378/449)
Long passes
52% (27/52)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
71% (107/151)74% (92/125)
Crosses
32% (6/19)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.40
Throw-ins
2712
Fouls
1314
Tackles
75% (9/12)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4841
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.202.28
Goals prevented
0.20-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Quinn A. , Blake J. (A),
  • 45+6', Campuzano N. , Gomez S. ,
  • 45+11', 2 - 0, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Fehr M. , Gnaulati X. ,
  • 56', Guediri S. , Robinson G. ,
  • 60', Muir J. 🟨,
  • 65', Paul I. , Malango M. ,
  • 65', Sojberg A. , Larsson A. ,
  • 69', Foster M. , Bryneus O. ,
  • 69', Rendon B. , Hogan P. ,
  • 80', Blake J. , Williams R. ,
  • 80', Amoh E. , Kizza E. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Williams R. , Bryneus O. (A),
  • 87', O'Brien J. , Collier E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
55.7%
Draw
24.3%
Monterey Bay
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 24.5% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.7)
    3.78
    (3.8)
    4.59
    (4.5)
    8.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Indy is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Indy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 0:1
    22.04.2023 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 2:3
    17.09.2022 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 5:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )