Monterey Bay vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Nichols A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.62
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
2	10
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	13
Passes
71% (274/384)	70% (248/355)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.16	2.12
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
2	10
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	13
Touches in opposition box
14	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
71% (274/384)	70% (248/355)
Long passes
32% (30/94)	35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
50% (54/107)	63% (100/159)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	1.57
Throw-ins
28	33
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
80% (16/20)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
57	62
Clearances
43	17
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	2
xGOT faced
2.12	0.16
Goals prevented
0.12	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Lara A. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Totsch S. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
24', Lambert K. 🟨,
43', Dia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Perez E. ⚽,
66', Fehr M. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
66', Paul I. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
70', Perez E. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
70', Lambert K. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
78', Malango M. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
82', McFadden A. 🟨,
85', Rebollar A. 🟨,
90', Dia A. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
90', Serrano R. ↓, Davila E. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Monterey Bay
21.8%

Draw
27%

Louisville City
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.9%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

26.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Louisville City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Monterey Bay - Louisville City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (4.23)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	6.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Louisville City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
In this match, Louisville City is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Louisville City?

Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Monterey Bay?

Louisville City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Louisville City were as follows:

27.07.2024 Louisville City - Monterey Bay 4:1

18.03.2023 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:1

Latest results of Monterey Bay

17.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Rhode Island - Monterey Bay 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1 ✺

23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Louisville City

17.05.2025 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Louisville City - Minnesota United 0:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Louisville City - Richmond Kickers 4:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston ✔	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina ✔	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic ✔	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh ✔	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun ✔	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico ✔	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic ✔	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )