Monterey Bay vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Nichols A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.62
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
2	10
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	13
Passes
71% (274/384)	70% (248/355)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.16	2.12
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
2	10
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	13
Touches in opposition box
14	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
71% (274/384)	70% (248/355)
Long passes
32% (30/94)	35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
50% (54/107)	63% (100/159)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	1.57
Throw-ins
28	33
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
80% (16/20)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
57	62
Clearances
43	17
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	2
xGOT faced
2.12	0.16
Goals prevented
0.12	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Lara A. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Totsch S. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
24', Lambert K. 🟨,
43', Dia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Perez E. ⚽,
66', Fehr M. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
66', Paul I. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
70', Perez E. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
70', Lambert K. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
78', Malango M. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
82', McFadden A. 🟨,
85', Rebollar A. 🟨,
90', Dia A. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
90', Serrano R. ↓, Davila E. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Monterey Bay
21.8%

Draw
27%

Louisville City
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.9%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

26.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Louisville City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Monterey Bay - Louisville City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (4.23)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	6.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Louisville City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
In this match, Louisville City is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Louisville City?

Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Monterey Bay?

Louisville City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Louisville City were as follows:

27.07.2024 Louisville City - Monterey Bay 4:1

18.03.2023 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:1

Latest results of Monterey Bay

17.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Rhode Island - Monterey Bay 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1 ✺

23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Louisville City

17.05.2025 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Louisville City - Minnesota United 0:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Louisville City - Richmond Kickers 4:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	21	14	6	1	42:17	25	48
2	Charleston	20	14	2	4	41:21	20	44
3	North Carolina	20	10	3	7	31:27	4	33
4	Loudoun	20	9	4	7	31:29	2	31
5	Pittsburgh	21	7	7	7	20:19	1	28
6	Detroit	21	7	7	7	24:24	0	28
7	Hartford Athletic	20	7	5	8	29:23	6	26
8	Indy Eleven	20	6	5	9	32:37	-5	23
9	Rhode Island	21	5	6	10	15:23	-8	21
10	Miami FC	21	5	5	11	21:34	-13	20
11	Birmingham	21	4	8	9	24:33	-9	20
12	Tampa Bay	20	5	3	12	22:31	-9	18

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	21	12	6	3	37:23	14	42
2	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	29:17	12	31
3	El Paso	20	8	7	5	33:27	6	31
4	San Antonio	20	8	5	7	25:26	-1	29
5	Phoenix Rising	21	7	7	7	35:37	-2	28
6	Lexington	21	7	7	7	23:27	-4	28
7	Orange County SC	19	8	3	8	28:25	3	27
8	New Mexico	19	8	3	8	26:28	-2	27
9	Colorado Springs	20	6	6	8	25:29	-4	24
10	Monterey Bay	22	6	6	10	23:29	-6	24
11	Oakland Roots	20	6	3	11	24:32	-8	21
12	Las Vegas Lights	21	5	5	11	17:39	-22	20

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )