Monterey Bay vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Nichols A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
210
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
71% (274/384)70% (248/355)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.162.12
Total shots
917
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
1431
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
71% (274/384)70% (248/355)
Long passes
32% (30/94)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
50% (54/107)63% (100/159)
Crosses
33% (4/12)29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.57
Throw-ins
2833
Fouls
1112
Tackles
80% (16/20)93% (14/15)
Duels won
5762
Clearances
4317
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
82
xGOT faced
2.120.16
Goals prevented
0.120.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Lara A. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Totsch S. , Davila T. (A),
  • 24', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 43', Dia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Guediri S. , Robinson G. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Perez E. ,
  • 66', Fehr M. , Larsson A. ,
  • 66', Paul I. , Ivanovic L. ,
  • 70', Perez E. , McFadden A. ,
  • 70', Lambert K. , McCabe N. ,
  • 78', Malango M. , Bryant E. ,
  • 82', McFadden A. 🟨,
  • 85', Rebollar A. 🟨,
  • 90', Dia A. , Cano I. ,
  • 90', Serrano R. , Davila E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
21.8%
Draw
27%
Louisville City
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 26.9% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 26.1% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The chances for Louisville City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Monterey Bay - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.3
    (4.23)
    3.47
    (3.43)
    1.83
    (1.81)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Louisville City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Louisville City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Louisville City were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Louisville City - Monterey Bay 4:1
    18.03.2023 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)