Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Nichols A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (274/384) | 70% (248/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (274/384) | 70% (248/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (30/94) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (54/107) | 63% (100/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 29% (9/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Lara A. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Totsch S. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 24', Lambert K. 🟨,
- 43', Dia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Perez E. ⚽,
- 66', Fehr M. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
- 66', Paul I. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
- 70', Perez E. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
- 70', Lambert K. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 78', Malango M. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
- 82', McFadden A. 🟨,
- 85', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 90', Dia A. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
- 90', Serrano R. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
21.8% | Draw
27% | Louisville City
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Louisville City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Monterey Bay - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↑
(4.23) |
3.47 ↑
(3.43) |
1.83 ↑
(1.81) |
6.7%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
- Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Louisville City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Louisville City?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Monterey Bay?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Louisville City were as follows:
27.07.2024
Louisville City
-
Monterey Bay
4:1
18.03.2023
Monterey Bay
-
Louisville City
0:1
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
